Snowpack is well below average for the whole Four Corners region
Monday – 2 Mar 2026 – 8am
February summary…
The average high for February is 42 and the average low is 9. The record high of 60 occurred on 27 Feb 1988. The record low of -39 occurred on 1 Feb 1916. Precip in Feb averages 2.02″ and the average snowfall is 18.9″. Wolf Creek Pass averages 4.30″ of precip and 68.7″ of snow.
At Stevens Field the highest temp was 62 on 26 Feb and the lowest temp was -7 on 21 Feb. There were three days with winds at or over 30mph. The highest wind was 58mph on 17 Feb.
How did we do?
Snowpack and drought…
The Upper San Juan snotel is at 53% of the seasonal median and the Wolf Creek Summit snotel is at 60%
The US drought map on the bottom shows that much of the US is experiencing drought conditions.
March outlook…
The average high for March is 49 and the average low is 15. The record high of 73 occurred on 19 Mar 1907. The record low of -25 occurred on 1 Mar 1913. Precip in Mar averages 1.77″ and the average snowfall is 15.1″. Wolf Creek Pass averages 4.90″ of precip and 75.8″ of snow.
The precip outlook on the right shows “equal chances” for average precip.
Last month the Euro was 0.21″ high and the GFS was 1.34″ too high.
March is the first month of our transition season. We have seen signs already with cold nights but nearly record high temperatures in the afternoon.
March is one of the moist months of the year so there is potential yet for more winter conditions and snow. However, the ugly ridge is in place again and systems are climbing over and coming at us from the northwest.
The pattern will be active at the beginning of the month but it doesn’t favor us. The last 10 days of the month also look active. I think spring break needs to be factored in as well. Wolf Creek always seems to get good snow then.
The Euro is projecting average precip. The MJO is weak and a nonplayer. The AO has been neutral going positive and is a nonplayer. The ENSO is neutral and a nonplayer.
I expect a little less than average precipitation and below average snow with above average temperatures.
A HUGE thanks for your precip reports and pictures! Reports help verify our forecasts and make us better forecasters.
Another HUGE thanks to our donors and sponsors! You help cover the cost of this web page and our weather subscriptions, necessary to provide you accurate weather reports!
- Shawn
