Best odds for snow this afternoon through tomorrow morning, but don’t get too excited!

Graupel Man

Graupel, the mini-snowman is excited to hear we might see 1/2-2 inches of snow over the next 24 hours!

Thursday 1-25-2024. 9am update.

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 43 degrees and the low this morning was 30 degrees. Winds gusted to 13mph yesterday and our humidity bottomed out at 51% yesterday afternoon.

Precipitation summary: A few lucky people managed to find some snow at their place over the past 24hrs, but it wasn’t much! 2pm update…Wolf Creek Ski area now reports 7 inches of new snow!

Snow 4
24hr COCORAHS snow reports ranged from zero to half an inch.
Liquid 1
24hr COCORAHS liquid totals ranged from zero to 0.06 of an inch.

Pagosa Springs historical data for January 25th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
3955/ 19445-28/ 1917

Travel Disclaimer: While we would love to help you make decisions on whether to drive over the pass, plan your trip or predict if planes will be able to take off in Durango on a particular date, we don’t have the resources to do so…plus it puts us in potential legal liability if you go flying off Wolf Creek Pass when we suggested it would be a good day to travel! Please use these two links: New Mexico Road Conditions and Colorado Road Conditions. And this one for Durango Airport flight information.

If you are heading up to Silverton today or tonight be advised that they have a Winter Weather Advisory for that area: URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 159 AM MST Thu Jan 25 2024 Southwest San Juan Mountains- Including the cities of Silverton, Rico, and Hesperus …WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 AM MST FRIDAY… * WHAT…Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8 inches mainly west of Highway 550. East of Highway 550 amounts of 2 to 4 inches expected. * WHERE…Southwest San Juan Mountains. * WHEN…From 11 AM Thursday to 9 AM MST Friday.

Forecast discussion…

A long-wave trough will move into the Four Corners this afternoon, giving us a chance for snow today through tomorrow morning. Snow totals will be fairly wimpy from this system, ranging from 1/2-2 inches for the valley and 1-3 inches for the mountain. Looking further down the road, signs continue to look good for some decent snow in early February. I’ll have some long-range model runs for the first week of February in tomorrow’s post.

Screenshot 2024 01 25 084022
A long-wave trough will move into the Four Corners this afternoon, giving us a chance for snow today through tomorrow morning.
Screenshot 2024 01 25 064639
The latest NWS model is predicting 2 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs and for Wolf Creek over the next 24 hours.
Den Boulder
The Denver/Boulder NWS is predicting 1-2 inches of snow will fall between today and tomorrow.
GJ
The NWS in Grand Junction is predicting 1.4 inches of snow will fall between today and tomorrow.

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of today:  Mostly cloudy with a chance for snow showers, mainly from noon through tonight. Highs in the mid to upper 30’s. Winds SW 5-10mph. 1/2-2 inches of snow in the valley through Friday morning and 1-3 inches for the mountains.

Friday: Mostly cloudy in the morning, turning partly cloudy in the afternoon with a chance for light snow showers during the day. Lows in the teens and 20’s and highs in the mid to upper 30’s. Winds SW 5-10mph.

Saturday: Partly cloudy with lows in the teens and 20’s and highs in the upper 30’s to low 40’s. Winds SW 5-10mph.

Sunday-Monday: Partly cloudy with lows in the teens and 20’s and highs in the 40’s. Winds SW 5-10mph.

Tuesday-Wednesday: Partly cloudy with lows in the teens and 20’s and highs in the upper 40’s to low 50’s. Winds SW 5-10mph.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

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