Forecast: Mostly cloudy with chances for light snow through Friday.

Dog sled

Arleen went out with the San Juan Sled dog crew on Sunday. The San Juan Sled dog crew: Chris, Christina, Erin, Peter, Morgan with Moon! Remember, Sunday is locals day! Thank you for being our Snowball Sponsor!

Monday 1-22-2024. 8:15am update.

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 39 degrees and the low this morning was 30 degrees. Winds gusted to only 9mph yesterday and our humidity bottomed out at 74% yesterday afternoon.

Precipitation summary: Snow totals were light again in the valley with a range from 0.1 to 0.8 inches. Wolf Creek Ski area reported another 2 inches over the past 24 hours for a storm total of 4 inches so far.

Screenshot 2024 01 22 075717
COCORAHS 24hr snow reports ranged from 0.1 to 0.8 inches.
Precip 1
COCORAHS 24hr melted snow totals ranged from 0.03 to 0.13.

Pagosa Springs historical data for January 22nd.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
3857/ 19811-31/ 1955

Travel Disclaimer: While we would love to help you make decisions on whether to drive over the pass, plan your trip or predict if planes will be able to take off in Durango on a particular date, we don’t have the resources to do so…plus it puts us in potential legal liability if you go flying off Wolf Creek Pass when we suggested it would be a good day to travel! Please use these two links: New Mexico Road Conditions and Colorado Road Conditions. And this one for Durango Airport flight information.

Forecast discussion…

A series of troughs and waves will move through our area this week. As a trough slips to our SE today into Texas, the next disturbance will move from in from the west and track to our south on Wednesday, continuing our snow chances through Friday. We could see 1-3 inches of snow between today and Friday in the valley and 3-6 inches for the mountains.

Screenshot 2024 01 22 073756
A series of troughs and waves will move through our area this week, but not produce much snow for us. As one slips to our SE today into Texas, the next disturbance will move from in from the west and track to our south on Wednesday, continuing our snow chances through Friday.
Screenshot 2024 01 22 064018
The latest NWS model is predicting less than 1 inch of snow over the next 3 days.
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The latest NBM model is predicting 1.9 inches of snow will fall between today and Friday.
GFS 3
The latest GFS model is predicting 2.9 inches of snow will fall between today and Friday.
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The latest Euro model is predicting 2.1 inches of snow will fall between today and Friday.

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of today: Mostly cloudy with a chance for some snow showers, mainly between 11am and 4pm. Highs in the mid to upper 30’s. Winds SW 5-10mph. Snow totals 0-1/2 inch in the valley and 0-1 inch in the mountains.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance for a few snow showers and snow-rain mix, mainly after 11am. Lows in the 20’s and highs in the mid to upper 30’s. Winds SW 5-10mph. 0-1/2 inch of snow in the valley and 0-1 inch for the mountains.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance for a few snow showers, mainly between 11am and 4pm. Lows in the 20’s and highs in the mid to upper 30’s. Winds SW 5-10mph. 0-1/2 inch of snow in the valley and 1-2 inches for the mountains.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a chance for snow showers. Lows in the teens and 20’s and highs in the mid to upper 30’s. Winds SW 5-10mph. 0-1 inch of snow in the valley and 1-2 inches for the mountains.

Friday: Mostly cloudy with a chance for snow showers. Lows in the teens and 20’s and highs in the mid to upper 30’s. Winds SW 5-10mph. 0-1 inch of snow in the valley and 1-2 inches for the mountains.

Saturday: Partly cloudy with lows in the teens and 20’s and highs in the mid to upper 30’s. Winds SW 5-10mph.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

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