A parade of storms is heading our way!

Summit

Being above the low clouds, the summit at Wolf Creek Ski area got to see the sun rise this morning. They report a total of 4 inches from this storm. Photo courtesy of Wolf Creek Ski area.

Friday 1-5-2024. 9:20am update.

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 36 degrees and the low this morning was 17 degrees. Winds gusted to only 7mph yesterday and our humidity bottomed out at 61% yesterday afternoon.

Precipitation summary: Wolf Creek Ski Area reports 4 inches total from this storm as of 7am this morning.

Snow 1
COCORAHS 24-hour snow reports ranged from 0.1 to 5.3 inches in Chromo.
Storm totals
COCORAHS 48-hour storm totals ranged from 1.1 inches to 6.3 inches in Chromo.
Liquid
COCORAHS 24-hour melted snow reports ranged from 0.02 to .38 inches in Chromo.

Pagosa Springs historical data for January 5th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
3455/ 1981-2-35/ 1949
310448169 464334978857509 8427265086087382920 n
Thanks to the Springs Resort for sponsoring our next winter storm on Sunday!

Travel Disclaimer: While we would love to help you make decisions on whether to drive over the pass, plan your trip or predict if planes will be able to take off in Durango on a particular date, we don’t have the resources to do so…plus it puts us in potential legal liability if you go flying off Wolf Creek Pass when we suggested it would be a good day to travel! Please use these two links: New Mexico Road Conditions and Colorado Road Conditions. And this one for Durango Airport flight information.

Forecast discussion…

A few snow showers today under mostly cloudy skies and cold with highs only reaching the upper 20’s for most spots. On Saturday we should see more sun ahead of a trough that will move into our area, giving us a good chance for snow from early Sunday through midnight on Monday. This next system is stronger and should have more moisture to work with than the one that just moved through. Forecast snow totals are 6-12 inches in the valley and 8-15 inches for the mountains.

Looking further down the line, we could see another storm moving through the latter half of next week and possibly another one after that the following week.

gfs deterministic conus z500 barbs 4628800
A strong trough will dig in to our west on early Sunday, giving us a good chance for more snow than what we saw with our last storm.
StormTotalSnowWeb
Grand Junction NWS is predicting 10.6 inches of snow from our next storm.
Screenshot 2024 01 05 075808
The latest NWS model is predicting 11 inches of snow will fall between early Sunday morning and early Monday morning.
Screenshot 2024 01 05 075729
The latest NBM model is predicting 9 inches of snow will fall between early Sunday morning and early Monday morning.
Euro 1
The latest Euro model is predicting 7.7 inches of snow will fall between early Sunday morning and early Monday morning.

5-Day Forecast…

Friday: Mostly cloudy with highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s. A few snow showers during the day. Winds SW 5-10mph with gusts to 15mph.

Saturday: Partly cloudy with lows in single digits and teens and highs in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds SW 5-10mph with gusts to 15mph.

Sunday: Cloudy with lows in single digits and teens and highs in the mid to upper 20’s. Snow showers start around midnight and continue all day and into the evening…snow could be heavy at times. Winds SW 5-10mph with gusts to 15mph.

Total snow from Storm #2: 6-12 inches in the valley and 8-15 inches for the mountains.

Monday: Mostly cloudy in the morning and partly cloudy in the afternoon with lows in single digits and teens and highs in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds SW 5-10mph with gusts to 15mph.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with lows -5 to single digits and highs in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds SW 5-10mph with gusts to 15mph.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with lows in the single digits and highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s. A few snow showers during the day. Winds SW 5-10mph with gusts to 15mph.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

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