Our snow globe is coming back!

Snow

As of post time, we were getting some pretty decent snow showers at our place about a mile north of Hatcher Lake. Seen in the image are two of my weather sensors and my snow measuring stick.

Thursday 1-4-2024. 8:55am update.

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 40 degrees and the low this morning was 23 degrees. Winds gusted to only 7mph yesterday and our humidity bottomed out at 20% yesterday afternoon.

Precipitation summary: Finally, something to talk about! Wolf Creek Ski Area reports 3 inches of new snow as of 7am this morning.

Snow
COCORAHS snow reports ranged from 0.50 to 3.4 inches at Shawn and Arleen’s place.
Water
COCORAHS melted snow totals ranged from a trace in Chama to 0.26.

Pagosa Springs historical data for January 4th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
3551/ 1981-1-32/ 1911
310448169 464334978857509 8427265086087382920 n
Thanks to the Springs Resort for sponsoring our next winter storm on Sunday!

Travel Disclaimer: While we would love to help you make decisions on whether to drive over the pass, plan your trip or predict if planes will be able to take off in Durango on a particular date, we don’t have the resources to do so…plus it puts us in potential legal liability if you go flying off Wolf Creek Pass when we suggested it would be a good day to travel! Please use these two links: New Mexico Road Conditions and Colorado Road Conditions. And this one for Durango Airport flight information.

Advisories 1
Winter Weather Advisories in blue and Winter Storm Warnings in pink…Chama, NM is in a Winter Storm Warning.

Current Watches, Advisories and Warnings for our area:

Wolf Creek Pass:

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pueblo CO 352 AM MST Thu Jan 4 2024 Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet- 352 AM MST Thu Jan 4 2024 …WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING… * WHAT…Snow. Additional snow accumulations of 5 to 10 inches. * WHERE…Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet County. * WHEN…Until 11 PM MST this evening. * IMPACTS…Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

Pagosa Springs:

URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 202 AM MST Thu Jan 4 2024 Animas River Basin-San Juan River Basin- Including the cities of Durango, Bayfield, Ignacio, and Pagosa Springs 202 AM MST Thu Jan 4 2024 …WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING… * WHAT…Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches with locally higher amounts. * WHERE…Animas River Basin and San Juan River Basin. * WHEN…Until 11 PM MST this evening.

Forecast discussion…

Low pressure #1 is now over Arizona, pumping moisture into our area from the SW. The low will move east today, and our snow will come to an end tonight. We could see another 1-3 inches of snow through early evening in the valley and 3-5 inches for the mountains. After a break on Friday, an even stronger low will move into our area, giving us a good chance for snow from Saturday through Monday morning. Early snow forecasts for #2 are 5-10 inches in the valley and 9-17 inches for the mountains. Look for highs to remain at or below freezing from at least through Tuesday of next week with lows dropping below zero by Tuesday.

Low
As seen on the latest water vapor imagery, Low pressure #1 is now over Arizona, pumping moisture into our area from the SW. The low will move east today and our snow will come to an end tonight.
Screenshot 2024 01 04 082008
8:15am radar shows moisture moving into our area from the south. As usual, the radar is not picking up snow over us.
Screenshot 2024 01 04 075319 1
The latest NBM model is predicting another 2.5 inches of snow will fall today and tonight.
HRRR
The latest HRRR model is predicting another 2.5 inches of snow will fall today and tonight.
NBM Sun
The latest NBM model is predicting 10.8 inches of snow will fall between today and Monday morning.

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of today: Cloudy with highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s. Snow showers continuing during the day and into the early evening. Winds SW 5-10mph with gusts to 15mph. We could see another 1-3 inches of snow through early evening in the valley and 3-5 inches for the mountains.

Friday: Mostly cloudy in the morning and partly cloudy in the afternoon with lows in single digits and teens and highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s. A few snow showers during the day. Winds SW 5-10mph with gusts to 15mph.

Saturday: Partly cloudy with lows in single digits and teens and highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s. A chance for snow during the day, ramping up after sunset. Winds SW 5-10mph with gusts to 15mph.

Sunday: Cloudy with lows in single digits and teens and highs in the mid to upper 20’s. Snow showers all day and into the evening…snow could be heavy at times. Winds SW 5-10mph with gusts to 15mph.

Total snow from Storm #2: 5-10 inches in the valley and 9-17 inches for the mountains.

Monday: Mostly cloudy in the morning and partly cloudy in the afternoon with lows in single digits and teens and highs in the mid to upper 20’s. A chance for snow showers in the morning. Winds SW 5-10mph with gusts to 15mph.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with lows -5 to single digits and highs in the mid to upper 20’s. Winds SW 5-10mph with gusts to 15mph.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

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This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

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