A little more snow today and then a chilly start to the week…

The Grinch and Max are happy about the snow! – pic taken 12/23/2023

The Grinch and Max are happy about the snow! – pic taken 12/23/2023

If images fail to load in the email, please click the title of the post. Thanks!

Saturday – 23 Dec 2023 – 12:30pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature yesterday afternoon was 40. The low this morning was 22.

The peak wind at Stevens Field yesterday afternoon was 6mph.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
3856 / 19064-28 / 1990

Precipitation summary… Snow levels were a couple of hundred feet lower than I expected but temps were above freezing which resulted in heavy wet snow that struggled to accumulate.

Wolf Creek reported 8” of new snow this morning.  CoCoRaHS reports are below.

CoCoRaHS 24-hour snow reports ranged from 0.2” to 3.4”. Keena reported 4” on Jacobson Hill at 8,250ft and Terrie reported 8” in Lost Valley near 9,000ft elevation.
CoCoRaHS 24-hour snow reports ranged from 0.2” to 3.4”. Keena reported 4” on Jacobson Hill at 8,250ft and Terrie reported 8” in Lost Valley near 9,000ft elevation.
CoCoRaHS 24-hour precip reports range from 0.23” to 0.67”.
CoCoRaHS 24-hour precip reports range from 0.23” to 0.67”.
If this system had been colder, most of us would have received 4-6″ of snow.

A BIG THANKS to everyone for your reports!

Forecast discussion…

Water vapor satellite this morning – Later today we’re going to catch the northern edge of the low to our south and then the secondary trough will move through late this evening.
Water vapor satellite this morning – Later today we’re going to catch the northern edge of the low to our south and then the secondary trough will move through late this evening.
Radar this morning – Radar shows a couple of weak, small showers to our west, but radar isn’t picking up everything in our area.  The more defined areas of precip are mostly moving towards the northeast.
Radar this morning – Radar shows a couple of weak, small showers to our west, but radar isn’t picking up everything in our area.  The more defined areas of precip are mostly moving towards the northeast.

Forecast Highlights…

*** Scattered showers through Saturday evening and then just a few spotty showers Sunday. ***

*** Travel over Wolf Creek Pass will be sketchy through Sunday evening. ***

*** The Grand Junction NWS has issued a WINTER STORM WARNING for the southwest San Juan Mountains. The warning is valid until 5am Sunday.  This does not include Pagosa Springs. ***

*** The Colorado Avalanche Information Center has issued a SPECIAL AVALANCHE ADVISORY for our mountains. The avalanche threat is rated “considerable”. Dangerous conditions will persist through the weekend. ***

This winter storm is sponsored by The Springs Resort!

Rest of Saturday through Sunday night… We’ll catch the northern edge of the main low as it slides south of us this afternoon. Later tonight we’ll catch the tail-end of a secondary trough as it moves east through Colorado. Storm ingredients are marginal, so I just expect scattered showers.

Fog could develop tonight and then again Sunday night in the low-lying areas.

Timing… Precip will be scattered into Saturday evening and become even more hit and miss on Sunday.

Snow levels… At noon on Saturday the snow level is around 7,700ft and will gradually drop to 7,500ft by sunset. As snow levels drop farther Saturday night, moisture and precip will decrease.

Snow amounts to Sunday at 8am…

Valley: a dusting to 2”

Mountains: 3-6”

Snow amounts Sunday 8am to Monday at 8am…

Valley: a dusting in a few lucky spots

Mountains: up to an inch

Winds… Peaks will be 10-15mph

Temps… Saturday highs will be in the mid to high 30s lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s.  Highs Sunday will be in the low to high 30s and lows will be in the negative single digits to low teens.

The NWS “official” snow forecast shows less than 1” for Pagosa, and 4-6” near Wolf Creek. Snow across the northern and central mountains, and the eastern Plains will increase as the secondary trough moves through Colorado tonight.
The NWS “official” snow forecast shows less than 1” for Pagosa, and 4-6” near Wolf Creek.
Snow across the northern and central mountains, and the eastern Plains will increase as the secondary trough moves through Colorado tonight.
The NWS snow forecast model zoomed into our area shows a half inch for most of the valley, and 4” for Wolf Creek Pass. Folks in the valley tucked up closer to the mountains could get up to 2”.
The NWS snow forecast model zoomed into our area shows a half inch for most of the valley, and 4” for Wolf Creek Pass. Folks in the valley tucked up closer to the mountains could get up to 2”.

Christmas Day through Friday… A spotty snowshower or two is possible over the mountains on Christmas Day, but I don’t expect any snow to accumulate.

Ridging will build over the region during the middle of the week and give us lots of sun and light winds. Temps will be below average Monday and Tuesday, and then near seasonal averages the second half of the week.

Winds… Peaks Monday and Tuesday afternoons will be 10-15mph. Wednesday and Thursday peaks will be 5-10mph.

Temps… Highs on Christmas and Tuesday will be in the high 20s to mid-30s and lows will be in the negative single digits to low teens. Highs Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday will be in the mid-30s to low 40s and lows will be in the high single digits to high teens.

My next post will be tomorrow.

– Shawn

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Picture of Shawn Pro

Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

 

© 2024 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon