Ditto weather continues!

Fall

Another one of my fall photo favorites from a couple of weeks ago. © 2023-Mark Langford

Friday 11-3-2023. 7:45am update.

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 59 degrees and the low this morning was 26 degrees. Winds gusted to 10mph yesterday and our humidity bottomed out at 14% yesterday afternoon.

Precipitation summary: There was no precipitation to summarize!

Pagosa Springs historical data for November 3rd.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
5474/ 194519-6/ 1991

Fire updates…

The Trail Springs fire, Mill Creek 2 fire, and Bear Creek fire have been less active due to cooler temps and more moisture.

https://www.facebook.com/sanjuannationalforest

https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident-information/cosjf-trail-springs-fire

Screenshot 2023 11 03 072635
Zonal flow aloft will keep us mostly sunny and dry for the next few days.

Forecast discussion…

We are transitioning from a NW flow to zonal flow aloft, which will continue our dry and mild weather through Tuesday of next week, as systems stay to our north. On Wednesday a trough and associated cold front move through, lowering our temperatures and raising our winds, but without any precipitation. Both the long-range Euro and GFS models think an upper-level low will form late next week off the southern California coast, then track NE. If that were to happen, we could see some decent rain and snow totals next weekend…we shall see!

Screenshot 2023 11 03 070752
Zip zero, nada precipitation over the next 7-days!
Euro Sunday
The latest Euro model brings precipitation into Pagosa Springs next weekend…we shall see!
Screenshot 2023 11 03 071122
The latest GFS model brings lots of precipitation into Pagosa Springs next weekend…we shall see!

5-Day Forecast…

Today-Tuesday: Mostly sunny with lows in the 20’s and highs in the upper 50’s to low 60’s. Winds SW 5-10, with gusts to 15mph. Cold spots could see lows in the upper teens.

Wednesday: Turning colder with the arrival of a cold front. Mostly sunny with lows in the 20’s and highs in the upper 40’s to low 50’s. Winds SW 10-15mph, with gusts to 25mph.

Thursday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper teens to low 20’s and highs in the mid to upper 40’s. Winds SW 5-10mph, with gusts to 20mph.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

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