It looks more like winter up at Wolf Creek! – Wolf Creek Ski Area cam 10/29/2023 at 9:27am
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Sunday – 29 Oct 2023 – 9:45am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature yesterday afternoon was 56 and the low this morning was 37. Most of the night the temps were in the low 40s. Humidity bottomed out yesterday at 33%.
The peak wind at Stevens Field yesterday afternoon was 26mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 57 | 75 / 1915 | 23 | 6 / 1955 |
Precipitation summary… Spotty, fast-moving showers and a couple of thunderstorms hit most parts of the county yesterday. We got lots of reports of graupel.
For Wolf Creek, based on snotel data and a report yesterday from Matt, I estimate that they got 6-8” of snow.
Fire updates…
The Trail Springs fire, Mill Creek 2 fire, and Bear Creek fire have been less active due to cooler temps and more moisture.
https://www.facebook.com/sanjuannationalforest
https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident-information/cosjf-trail-springs-fire
Forecast discussion…
Forecast Highlights…
*** The Grand Junction NWS has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the Southwest San Juan Mountains above 9,000ft for a storm total of 5-10” of snow valid until 6pm on Sunday. ***
Rest of today and Monday… The main trough will move through our area Sunday evening. Moisture is decreasing but there’s enough instability to kick up a few spotty showers and a thunderstorm or two.
The best chance for precip is this morning into the early afternoon and then chances decrease. Showers could linger over the mountains until midnight tonight. Patchy fog is possible in the low-lying areas later tonight and tomorrow morning.
Most of Monday will be partly cloudy, dry, and chilly.
Snow levels… Will bounce around between 8,000ft and 8,500ft until Sunday afternoon. As moisture decreases and the chance for snow diminishes Sunday evening, the snow level will drop below 6,500ft.
Additional Snow amounts…
Mountains above 9,000ft: 1-3”
Valley above 8,000ft: up to a half inch – it will be spotty
Valley below 8,000ft: a few snowflakes
Winds… Sunday afternoon gusts will be around 20mph and then Monday afternoon gusts will be around 15mph.
Temps… Sunday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s. Monday highs will be in the low to high 40s and lows will be in the low teens to low 20s.
Tuesday through Friday… High pressure will build back over the southwest US and force storms to track to our north. We will see lots of blue sky with occasional patches of clouds and a warming trend.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be around 15mph.
Temps… Tuesday highs will be in the high 40s to mid-50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s. Wednesday highs will be in the low to high 50s and lows will be in the high teens to high 20s. Thursday and Friday highs will be in the mid-50s to low 60s and lows will be in the low 20s to low 30s.
I’ll do a storm wrap-up post tomorrow morning.
– Shawn
