Fresh snow up at Wolf Creek! – Wolf Creek summit cam on 10/28/2023 at 5:10pm
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Saturday – 28 Oct 2023 – 6:40pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature today was 56 and the low last night was 39. Most of the night the temps were in the low 40s. Humidity bottomed out today at 33%.
The peak wind at Stevens Field this afternoon was 26mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 59 | 73 / 1990 | 23 | 5 / 1955 |
Precipitation summary… Precip reported this morning was light and spotty. The precip lottery winner was Mark, just north of Hatcher Lake, with 0.05”. We had quite a few reports of graupel and a couple of reports of thunder today.
Fire updates…
The Trail Springs fire, Mill Creek 2 fire, and Bear Creek fire have been less active due to more moisture and cooler temps.
https://www.facebook.com/sanjuannationalforest
https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident-information/cosjf-trail-springs-fire
Forecast discussion…
Forecast Highlights…
*** The Grand Junction NWS has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the Southwest San Juan Mountains above 9,000ft for a storm total of 5-10” of snow valid until 6pm on Sunday. ***
Saturday night, Sunday, and Monday… The main trough will move through our area Sunday night. We’ll catch the southern end of the moisture band and the storm energy. We’ll continue to see fast-moving scattered showers and a thunderstorm or two.
The best chance for precip is Saturday night to Sunday afternoon. Showers could linger over the mountains into early Monday morning.
Most of Monday will be partly cloudy, dry, and chilly.
Snow levels… Will be around 9,000ft until sunrise on Sunday and then bounce around between 8,000ft and 8,500ft until Sunday evening. As moisture decreases and the chance for snow diminishes Sunday evening, the snow level will drop below 6,500ft.
Additional Snow amounts…
Mountains above 9,000ft: 2-5”
Valley above 8,000ft: up to 1” – it will be spotty
Valley below 8,000ft: a few snowflakes
Winds… Sunday afternoon gusts will be around 20mph range and then Monday afternoon gusts will be around 15mph.
Temps… Lows Saturday night will be in the high 20s to high 30s. Sunday highs will be in the mid-40s to low 50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s. Monday highs will be in the low to high 40s and lows will be in the low teens to low 20s.
Tuesday through Friday… High pressure will build back over the southwest US and force storms to track to our north. We will see lots of blue sky with occasional patches of clouds and a warming trend.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be around 15mph.
Temps… Tuesday and Wednesday highs will be in the high 40s to mid-50s and lows will be in the mid-teens to mid-20s. Thursday and Friday highs will be in the low to high 50s and lows will be in the high teens to high 20s.
I’ll do another post tomorrow.
– Shawn
