Fall colors will peak during the next week!…

A bear’s footprint and golden aspen leaves – Pic taken 10/6/2023

A bear’s footprint and golden aspen leaves – Pic taken 10/6/2023

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Friday – 6 Oct 2023 – 7:00pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature today was 72 and the low this morning was 35. Humidity bottomed out this afternoon at 14%.

There were a few spots in the upper 20s this morning, including downtown.

The peak wind at Stevens Field this afternoon was 10mph.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6882 / 19562913 / 1908

Precipitation summary… There has been no measurable precip reported recently.

Pagosa Country Fall Color update…

I estimate our fall colors to be in the 20-50% range.  Some areas like the East Fork are near the top of that range, while others like Plumtaw are near the bottom of that range. There’s been a noticeable change over the last few days, so I think we’ll peak within the next week.  This weekend and next weekend should both be great!

Fall in Pagosa Country! – pics taken in the last few days in different locations
Fall in Pagosa Country!
Pics taken in the last few days in different locations

Forecast discussion…

Water vapor satellite this evening – The ridge along the West Coast is keeping most of the western US dry. The jet stream is to our north. A little surge of moisture over southern AZ and southern NM is moving slowly north and could kick up a scattered late afternoon shower over the mountains tomorrow.
Water vapor satellite this evening – The ridge along the West Coast is keeping most of the western US dry. The jet stream is to our north. A little surge of moisture over southern AZ and southern NM is moving slowly north and could kick up a scattered late afternoon shower over the mountains tomorrow.

There is no rain indicated on radar in our area this evening.

Forecast Highlights…

*** The cold spots will dip below freezing each night. ***

Tonight through Tuesday afternoon… High pressure over the west US will give us lots of sun, dry weather, and pleasant fall temps. Late Saturday afternoon a little surge of moisture could kick up a scattered shower over the mountains.

Winds… Will peak around 15mph in the afternoons. Winds Tuesday afternoon will be a little stronger in the 15-20mph range.

Temps… Highs will be in the high 60s to mid-70s and lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s.

Tuesday night through Thursday afternoon… A weak trough will move through from the northwest.  Northwest is not a favorable trajectory for us and there won’t be much moisture, so my expectations are low. We’ll see a few more clouds and spotty showers, mostly over the mountains.

Winds… Gusts Wednesday afternoon will be in the 20-30mph range and then they’ll drop a little Thursday into the 15-20mph range.

Temps… Highs will be in the mid-50s to low 60s and lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s.

NBM precip to Thursday at 6pm shows 0.02” in the Pagosa area, a trace for Chama, and up to 0.40” in our mountains. Note the higher precip amounts in the northern CO mountains.  This is typical for system moving through the region from the northwest.
NBM precip to Thursday at 6pm shows 0.02” in the Pagosa area, a trace for Chama, and up to 0.40” in our mountains. Note the higher precip amounts in the northern CO mountains.  This is typical for system moving through the region from the northwest.

Mark will take over on Sunday.

– Shawn

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I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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