Vegas stole our rain!

Moth

A White-Lined Sphinx hummingbird moth looks for some breakfast in our red snapdragons…© 2023-Mark Langford

Saturday 9-2-2023. 8:30am update.

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 84 degrees and the low this morning was 55 degrees. Winds gusted to 18mph yesterday and our humidity bottomed out at 16% yesterday afternoon.

Precipitation summary: There was no precipitation to summarize from yesterday.

Pagosa Springs historical data for September 2nd.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7990/ 19504030/ 1944

Fire restrictions on all National Forest System lands within the San Juan National Forest, including wilderness, will be rescinded – effective 12:01am Thursday, August 31st. Recent rains over the Forest have lessened the risk of wildland fire, allowing restrictions to be lifted. This means campfires are now allowed outside of established Forest Service campgrounds and recreation sites on the San Juan National Forest.

c93cd413ce91dd051689307f77e42e3c 1

Here’s the latest on our nearby fires:

Quartz Ridge Fire link

Bear Creek Fire link

Screenshot 2023 09 02 081703
A low pressure off northern California will move NE over the next two days, ushering in our first cool front of the season on Monday. Rain odds will remain at almost zero.

Forecast discussion…

You know things are going wrong weatherwise, when Las Vegas gets 1-2 inches of rain and we get absolutely nothing! Such is the case as deep monsoonal moisture flowed into western Arizona, eastern southern California, Nevada and western Utah, but unfortunately stayed too far to our west for us to get some rain relief. A low pressure off northern California will move NE over the next two days, ushering in our first cool front of the season on Monday. Winds will be gusting to over 30mph, so Labor Day picnics will be quite a challenge keeping food, plates, table clothes, etc. from becoming flying objects! Behind the front, look for cooler weather through Wednesday, then a warming trend for the latter half of the week.

Screenshot 2023 09 02 073841
The latest 3-day rainfall forecast from the NWS is predicting zero rainfall for us.
GFS
The latest 7-Day GFS model is predicting zero rainfall for us.
NBM
The latest 7-Day NBM model is predicting zero rainfall for us.

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of the day: Partly cloudy with a tiny chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the low to mid 80’s. Winds SW 10-15, with gusts to 20mph.  

Sunday: Partly cloudy with a tiny chance for afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the 40’s and 50’s and highs low to mid 80’s. Winds SW 10-15, with gusts to 20mph.

Monday: Partly cloudy, breezy and cooler with lows in the 40’s and 50’s and highs in the mid to upper 70’s. Winds SW 15-20mph with gusts to 35mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny and cooler with lows in the upper 30’s and low 40’s and highs in the mid to upper 70’s. Winds SW 10-15mph, with gusts to 25mph. 

Wednesday-Thursday: Mostly sunny with lows in the upper 30’s and low 40’s and highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s. Winds SW 10-15mph, with gusts to 25mph. 

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

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