A big ole cumulus clouds brewing over Pagosa Peak – pic taken 8/1/2023
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Wednesday – 2 Aug 2023 – 5:30pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature this afternoon was 83 and the low this morning was 58. Humidity bottomed out at 19% this afternoon.
The peak wind at Stevens Field this afternoon was 23mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 82 | 92 / 1958 | 46 | 36 / 1950 |
Precipitation summary… Most of us didn’t get any precip yesterday, but our friends in Chromo got 0.03” to 0.07”. My forecast stunk for yesterday. I was expecting a more active day.
Forecast discussion…
Forecast Highlights…
*** Fire danger has worsened to “EXTREME”. ***
*** Stage 1 Fire Restrictions are in effect for the lower elevations of San Juan National Forest and all of Archuleta County. The minimum fine for violating campfire restrictions is $530. ***
Rest of today and tomorrow… The ridge will flatten as a trough skirts well to our north and drier air moves in. There is a slight chance for spotty showers and a thunderstorm, mostly over the mountains.
Winds… Afternoon winds will peak mostly in the 20-25mph range, but isolated stronger gusts are possible near showers and thunderstorms.
Temps… Highs will be in the low to high 80s and lows will be in the high 40s to high 50s.
Friday through next Wednesday… Upper-level flow will turn more out of the west-southwest as the ridge is flattened by a series of troughs moving into the Pacific NW and then west into the northern Plains. Unfortunately, this will dry us out, kick up the winds a bit, and bring slightly warmer temps.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be 20-25mph out of the southwest.
Temps… Highs will be in the mid-80s to low 90s and lows will be in the mid-40s to mid-50s.
And the longer range?… We could stay dry until around the 13th when a little more moisture tries to move into the region.
My next post will be on Friday unless something pops up.
– Shawn
