A couple of cumulonimbus clouds developed yesterday afternoon, but stayed over the mountains, mostly on the other side of The Divide. Note the brown fields. Fire danger is VERY HIGH! – pic taken 7/24/2023
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Tuesday – 25 Jul 2023 – 6:20pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature this afternoon was 92 and the low this morning was 55. Humidity bottomed out at 10% this afternoon.
The peak wind at Stevens Field this afternoon was 29mph.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 82 | 94 / 1940 | 47 | 36 / 1995 |
Precipitation summary… There has been no measurable precip reported in the last 24 hours.
Enjoy the season of Rain and Relaxation!
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Forecast discussion…
Forecast Highlights…
*** FIRE DANGER IS VERY HIGH and is slowly getting worse. ***
*** Stage 1 Fire Restrictions are in effect for the lower elevations of San Juan National Forest and all of Archuleta County. The minimum fine for violating campfire restrictions is $530. ***
Rest of Today through Friday… The high pressure is wandering around the Four Corners area. Unfortunately we’re almost under the center of the high, where subsidence – downward vertical motion – is hindering convective active activity and moisture. There is a slight chance for spotty afternoon showers and thunderstorms on Thursday and Friday. Please keep an eye out for new fires!
Winds… Afternoon winds will peak mostly in the 15-20mph range, but isolated stronger gusts are possible near showers and thunderstorms.
Temps… Highs will be in the high 80s to mid-90s and lows will be in the mid-40s to mid-50s.
Saturday through Tuesday… My forecast confidence is increasing that we’ll see more moisture and more instability leading to a better chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Winds… Afternoon winds will peak mostly in the 15-20mph range, but isolated stronger gusts are possible near showers and thunderstorms.
Temps… Saturday highs will be in the mid-80s to low 90s and lows will be in the high 40s to high 50s. Sunday through Tuesday highs will be in the low to high 80s and lows will be in the high 40s to high 50s.
My next post will be on Thursday unless something pops up.
– Shawn
2 Responses
So…Why no monsoon this year? The lack of rain is getting ridiculous…..
Frank, the polar front jet is continuing to dip into the Midwest keeping subtropical ridge to our west. The jet & the ridge are like a couple of sumo wrestlers pushing on each other & the jet has been winning continuing what looks like a spring weather regime through all of July. We’ve been under the high rather than to the west of it. So we’re seeing subsidence which is downward forced air rather than uplifting. Ridge retrogrades to our east starting this weekend. The monsoon should begin.