Wild irises under blue skies this morning – pic taken 6/16/2023
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Friday – 16 Jun 2023 – 6:30pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temperature this afternoon was 71 and the low this morning was 39. Humidity bottomed out at 22% this afternoon.
The cold spots were right at freezing this morning.
The peak wind at Stevens Field this afternoon was 41mph. Here in O’Neal Park we had a peak wind of 32mph. They were outflow gusts associated with a band of showers that moved through in the afternoon.
*** The average last freeze is 31 May, but we’re not out of the woods. Average low temps remain in the mid-30s into the third week of June so temps can still drop below freezing. ***
What is a cold spot? Cold spots are lower areas like valleys, drainages, and stream areas. If your morning low temps are usually at the bottom of our forecast range, you are in a cold spot.
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 78 | 88 / 1985 | 36 | 24 / 1974 |
Precipitation summary… A few folks reported a trace of rain yesterday but there was no measurable precip reported.
Drought update…
Forecast discussion…
Forecast Highlights…
*** The cold spots will flirt with freezing morning temps through Sunday morning. ***
*** Possible smoke from Arizona fires overnight. Most of it will be aloft. ***
*** Scattered showers and thunderstorms tomorrow and then warmer, dry, and breezy for a while. ***
River flow…
On 15 June Navajo Reservoir had an inflow of 3,093cfs, an outflow of 4,000cfs, and dropped 0.26 feet. The lake hit its high point of 6063.80ft elevation on 30 May. The low was around 6017ft in late February, so it rose about 47 feet! A gradual decrease in releases has begun and is expected to decrease to 500cfs by 26 Jun. Here’s the link for more info: Navajo Dam Project Notices
Potential smoke from Arizona fires…
A couple of fires in central Arizona might send smoke in our direction. Thankfully most of the smoke is expected to stay aloft.
Rest of today through Saturday evening… The upper level trough will move through tomorrow giving us our best chance for showers and thunderstorms but they’ll continue to be spotty.
Temps… Highs will be in the mid-60s to mid-70s and lows will be in the low 30s to low 40s.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be in the 20-30mph range.
Sunday through Friday… A ridge will build just to our east and a trough will linger along the West Coast. This puts us in the sunny, dry, warmer, and breezy spot in between.
Temps… Highs will be in the mid-70s to mid-80s and lows will be in the mid-30s to mid-40s.
Winds… Afternoon gusts will be in the 20-25mph range. Monday the windy spots could hit 30mph.
My next post will be on Sunday.
– Shawn
