Our great weather continues…

Other than a tiny chance for some evening storms on Sunday, the weather remains great for the car show and Folk N’ Bluegrass Festival.

Saturday 6-10-2023. 9:20am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 73 and the low this morning was 35 degrees. Winds gusted to 22mph. Due to very dry air over us, many of the low spots (including downtown Pagosa Springs) saw freezing and below freezing temperatures this morning!

Precipitation summary: There was no measurable precipitation reported in the past 24 hours.

Pagosa Springs historical data

*** The average last freeze is 31 May.  Temps can still drop below freezing into the third week of June with average lows remaining in the mid-30s. ***

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7695/ 19483522/ 1950

Forecast discussion…

Look for fair and dry conditions today and during the day on Sunday. By Sunday night, we will see a small chance for thunderstorms through Tuesday as a low pressure moves from southern California into the Four Corners and eventually Colorado during that time. Unfortunately, there isn’t much moisture for this system to work with, so rainfall totals will likely remain under a tenth of an inch for Pagosa Springs.

Screenshot 2023 06 10 085518
Despite a low pressure approaching from southern California this week, rain odds will remain low due to a lack of decent moisture for the system to work with.
Screenshot 2023 06 10 084044
The latest NWS 3-day rainfall forecast is only predicting a chance for 0.01 inches of rain for Pagosa Springs.
Screenshot 2023 06 10 090642
The latest GFS model predicts less than a tenth of an inch of rain for us from Sunday night through Tuesday.
Screenshot 2023 06 10 091018
Navajo Reservoir has the highest lake level since 2020.
Screenshot 2023 06 10 091408
After a bump to over 2800cfs on Wednesday, today’s flow is 1860cfs.

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of the day: Partly cloudy with highs in low to mid 70’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20.

Sunday: Partly cloudy with a tiny chance for evening thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s and highs in low to mid 70’s. SW winds 15-20mph, with gusts to 30mph.

Monday-Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a chance for afternoon thunderstorms and a little cooler and breezier with lows in the mid 30’s to low 40’s and highs in upper 60’s to low 70’s. SW winds 15-20mph, with gusts to 30mph.

Wednesday-Thursday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s and highs in low to mid 70’s. SW winds 10-15mph, with gusts to 25mph.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

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