Scattered storms continue through Thursday…

Storm

I’ve had fun photographing some of our recent storms over the past week! © 2023-Mark Langford

Sunday 6-4-2023. 10:15am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 69 and the low this morning was 37 degrees. The cold spots, (our home north of Hatcher Lake included) continue to see lows near or below freezing. Winds gusted to 16mph.

Precipitation summary: COCORAHS 24hr rainfall totals from ranged from zero to 0.05 inches, but a remote sensor SW of town recorded 0.14.

Screenshot 2023 06 04 083616
COCORAHS 24hr rainfall totals ranged from zero to 0.05 inches.
Screenshot 2023 06 04 081401
Remote sensors recorded zero to 0.14 inches SW of Pagosa Springs.

Pagosa Springs historical data

*** The average last freeze is 31 May.  Temps can still drop below freezing into the third week of June with average lows remaining in the mid-30s. ***

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7490/ 19463418/ 1951

Forecast discussion…

A cut-off low over Salt Lake City continues to draw in moisture from the SE, mainly into eastern CO. The low will move slowly north over the next couple of days and by Thursday, our rain odds start trending downward. Look for continued chances for scattered showers and thunderstorms, with the best odds on Monday and Tuesday.

A reminder to hikers…afternoon storms can not only produce lightning and drop hail and brief heavy rain, but temperatures can drop quickly, producing the potential for hypothermia if you are not prepared with rain jackets, etc.

Screenshot 2023 06 04 084119
A cut-off low over Salt Lake City continues to draw in moisture from the SE, into mainly eastern CO. The low will move slowly north over the next couple of days and by Thursday, our rain odds start trending downward.
Screenshot 2023 06 04 083648
The latest 3-day rainfall forecast from the NWS predicts 0.30 inches for Pagosa Springs.
Screenshot 2023 06 04 083825
The latest NBM model is predicting 0.33 inches of rain for us from today through Wednesday.
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The latest GFS model is predicting 0.25 inches of rain through Wednesday.
Screenshot 2023 06 04 083929 1
The latest Euro model is predicting 0.56 inches of rain through Wednesday.

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of the day: Partly cloudy with a chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 60’s to low 70’s. SW winds 10-15mph with wind gusts over 25mph near thunderstorms. Rainfall totals: Zero to 0.10 inches.

Monday: Partly cloudy with a good chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s and highs in upper 60’s to low 70’s. SW winds 10-15mph with wind gusts over 25mph near thunderstorms. Rainfall totals: 0.05 to 0.20 inches.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a good chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s and highs in upper 60’s to low 70’s. SW winds 10-15mph with wind gusts over 25mph near thunderstorms. Rainfall totals: 0.05 to 0.20 inches.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s and highs in upper 60’s to low 70’s. SW winds 10-15mph with wind gusts over 25mph near thunderstorms. Rainfall totals: Zero to 0.10 inches.

Thursday: Partly cloudy with a slight chance for afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s and highs in upper 60’s to low 70’s. SW winds 10-15mph with wind gusts over 25mph near thunderstorms. Daily rainfall total: Zero-0.05 inches.

Friday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30’s to mid 40’s and highs in upper 60’s to low 70’s. SW winds 10-15mph.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

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