At Last! The Seasonal Monsoon Forecast is Ready!

7 Summer Scene

Cumulonimbus Mammatus at sunset, July 5, 2020, Photo Credit Shawn Prochazka

Join the Pagosa Weather Team at the San Juan Outdoor Club Meeting, Wednesday, May 31st at 6:00pm.

Arleen Prochazka, Shawn Prochazka and Mark Langford will be the guest speakers at the monthly San Juan Outdoor Club Meeting at the PLPOA Club House, 230 Port Ave. Social hour is from 6:00-6:30pm, with a short business meeting from 6:30-6:45pm. The presentation will begin at 6:45pm or a shortly before. The meeting is open to the public.

The Pagosa Weather Team has been waiting on the official NOAA National Hurricane Forecast. That finally came out on Thursday! Now the Pagosa Weather Team is ready to pass along the their Seasonal Monsoon Forecast.

Shawn will start with a Pagosa Weather introduction. Arleen will review this past winter season. How did we end up with so much more snow than average during a La Nina winter? Next, she will explain exactly how and when the monsoon sets up in our area. In addition, she will go over the evidence that indicates whether we are going to have a weak, average, or strong monsoon season. Last year we had 9.32″ of precipitation for the monsoon season months of July, August, and September. That was well above the average of 6.25″. Will this season be another soaker?

In addition, Mark will cover lightning safety, the latest update on the southwest Doppler radar, and updates to the Pagosa Weather web page. Finally, Shawn will have an update to our CoCoRaHS program and the Pagosa Weather Calendar.

As always, we’ll have time to answer any of your weather questions. See you on Wednesday!

Seasonal Monsoon Forecast Post

For those of you unable to attend the Outdoor Club Meeting, Arleen will have a post out sometime this week.

Also, Arleen will have a post with the information in her review of ’22-’23 winter out in a few weeks. This is due to requests that we heard at the library brief.

Later this summer, Pagosa Weather will add an article to their Weather 101 files on how we measure moisture in the air such as dew point and relative humidity. This is also due to feedback that we received at the Library talk.

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I grew up in Montana where my love of the mountains is rooted. I was in the Air Force, forecasting aviation weather, for 24 years. I had eight assignments and my favorites were Colorado, Alaska, Korea, and Germany. I deployed a number of times including to Iraq and Afghanistan. After RV traveling for nine years, we found paradise in Pagosa. Here we enjoy playing outside in the spectacular San Juan mountains!
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