Windy!…

Meadowlarks are a sure sign of spring. They are singing like crazy around our place!

Meadowlarks are a sure sign of spring. They are singing like crazy around our place!

If images fail to load in the email, please click the title of the post. Thanks!

Thursday – 4 May 2023 – 11:30am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temperature yesterday afternoon was 70 and the low this morning was 39. Here in the southern end of O’Neal Park our high yesterday afternoon 67 and our low this morning was 36.

The peak wind at Stevens Field yesterday afternoon was 37mph. That was outflow from a band of showers around dinnertime. Our peak wind yesterday afternoon in O’Neal Park was 23mph.

*** The average last freeze is 31 May.  Temps can still drop below freezing into the third week of June with average lows remaining in the mid-30s. ***

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6584 / 19472814 / 1913

Precipitation summary… A couple of weak showers moved through overnight.  Most reports ranged from a trace to 0.03” – just enough to wet the ground.

Forecast discussion…

Water vapor satellite this morning – The trough weakened considerably as it moved through this morning. The low has been spinning over CA/NV the last few days and will move northeast. The yellow arrows indicate the strong upper level southwest flow ahead of the low.
Water vapor satellite this morning – The trough weakened considerably as it moved through this morning. The low has been spinning over CA/NV the last few days and will move northeast. The yellow arrows indicate the strong upper level southwest flow ahead of the low.
Radar this morning – Most of the showers have pushed well to our east but there are a few weak showers lingering over the San Juans.
Radar this morning – Most of the showers have pushed well to our east but there are a few weak showers lingering over the San Juans.

Highlights…

*** Streams continue to run high due to run-off. ***

*** Winds will be gusty Friday and Saturday and then decrease just a little bit on Sunday. ***

River flow…

San Juan River, top, peaked at 2,970cfs last night. The Piedra River, bottom, peaked at 3,370cfs this morning. On 2 May Navajo Reservoir had an inflow of 7,465cfs – the highest so far this spring. It had an outflow of 504cfs and rose 1.15 feet. On 3 May it had an inflow of 6,980, an outflow of 505cfs, and it rose 1.05 feet.
San Juan River, top, peaked at 2,970cfs last night. The Piedra River, bottom, peaked at 3,370cfs this morning. On 2 May Navajo Reservoir had an inflow of 7,465cfs – the highest so far this spring. It had an outflow of 504cfs and rose 1.15 feet. On 3 May it had an inflow of 6,980, an outflow of 505cfs, and it rose 1.05 feet.

Rest of today… Upper level southwest flow has taken over as a slow moving low pressure system meanders around the CA and NV area. Patches of clouds will move through, but we should stay dry. Winds will start increasing this afternoon.

Temps… It will be a little cooler with highs in the high 50s to high 60s and lows in the mid-20s to mid-30s.

Winds… Gusts this afternoon will be in the 20-25mph range.

Friday and Saturday… We’ll remain on the eastern edge of a low that will move northeast through the Great Basin. Expect occasional patches of clouds, especially in the afternoons. A stray shower is possible over the mountains. Gusty winds will be the main problem.

Temps… Highs will be in the mid-50s to mid-60s, and lows will be in the mid-20s to mid-30s.

Winds… Gusts in the afternoon will be in the 25-30mph range.

Sunday… The remnants of a weak trough will bring a few more clouds and a slight chance for spotty afternoon showers and an isolated thunderstorm or two, mostly over the mountains.

Temps… Highs will be in the high 50s to high 60s, and lows will be in the mid-20s to mid-30s.

Winds… Gusts in the afternoon will be in the 20-25mph range.

Monday and Tuesday… Upper level flow will go more zonal – west to east – but will remain fairly strong. This will lead to gusty afternoon winds and occasional patches of clouds, but I expect us to stay dry.

Temps… Highs will be in the mid-60s to mid-70s and lows will be in the high 20s to high 30s.

Winds… Afternoon gusts will be in the 20-25mph range.

My next forecast post will be on Saturday.

– Shawn

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Shawn Pro

Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

 

© 2024 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon