Scattered showers, with a tiny chance for snow from Monday-Wednesday.

2 weeks

Our view of Coyote Loop Trail has changed dramatically since the last time I posted for Pagosa Weather two weeks ago! Photos by Mark Langford

Sunday – 23 April. 2023 – 10:15am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 56 and the low this morning was 25 degrees. Winds gusted to 30mph.

Precipitation summary: There was no precipitation to summarize!

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6276/ 19432511/ 1963
Screenshot 2023 04 23 084155 1
The current stream flow for the San Juan is at 889 ft3/s.
Screenshot 2023 04 23 083618
The current stream flow for the Piedra River is at 1700 ft3/s.
Screenshot 2023 04 23 091743
A low pressure and an associated cold front will give us a chance for precipitation from Monday through Wednesday. This will be a fairly dry system, so I don’t expect we will see much more than a tenth of an inch.

Forecast discussion…

An approaching low pressure from the Pacific NW and its associated cold front will be this week’s weather player. After today, look for a chance for snow, rain and a few thunderstorms from Monday-Wednesday. Unless you live above 9000 feet, you won’t have to worry about dragging your snow blower out again! After Wednesday, high pressure dominates for the rest of the work-week. We could see a slight chance for some showers and thunderstorms on Saturday.

StormTotalSnow GJT 1
The latest snow forecast from Grand Junction NWS…0-to a trace for us through Wednesday morning.
Screenshot 2023 04 23 085431 2
The latest NWS 3-Day precipitation forecast for Pagosa Springs is 0.12 inches.

5-Day Forecast…

The rest of the day: Mostly sunny with highs in the mid to upper 50’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 20mph.

Monday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the mid to upper 50’s.. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 25mph. A chance for rain/snow mix in the morning (8000 feet above), then a chance for showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the low to mid 50’s. SW winds 15-25mph with gusts to 40mph. Chance for showers and thunderstorms during the day and rain/snow mix and snow in the evening. Snow levels dropping to below 7000 feet during the night, but very little precipitation.

Snow amounts…

Valley below 9,000ft: a few snowflakes – lucky folks above 8,400ft could get up to a half inch

Mountains above 9,000ft: 3-6”

Wednesday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the low to mid 50’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 25mph. A slight chance for some scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday-Friday: Partly cloudy with lows in the upper 20’s to low 30’s and highs in the upper 50’s to low 60’s. SW winds 10-15mph with gusts to 25mph.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

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