Our next storm arrives tonight…

Sunny mountain

While we were dealing low clouds and flurries this morning in the valley, it was sunny at Wolf Creek Ski area! Photo courtesy of Wolf Creek Summit Cam.

Sunday – 22 Jan. 2023 – 9:30am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 25 and the low this morning was 14 degrees. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 75%. Winds at the airfield hit 7 mph yesterday.

Precipitation summary…snow flurries appeared this morning from our temperature inversion…most of us reported zero to a trace, but Chromo actually had measurable snow of 0.01.

Screenshot 2023 01 22 082141
24-hr snowfall totals ranged from 0 to 0.01inches.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
3857/ 19811-31/ 1955
Screenshot 2023 01 22 080910

Winter Weather Advisory-Does not include Pagosa Springs.

Southwest San Juan Mountains- Including the cities of Silverton, Rico, and Hesperus 232 AM MST Sun Jan 22 2023 …WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM MST MONDAY… * WHAT…Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches. * WHERE…Southwest San Juan Mountains. * WHEN…From 11 PM this evening to 5 PM MST Monday.

Winter Weather Advisory for Wolf Creek Pass:

Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet- 333 AM MST Sun Jan 22 2023 …WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM MST MONDAY… * WHAT…Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 9 inches. * WHERE…Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet. * WHEN…From 11 PM this evening to 5 PM MST Monday. * IMPACTS…Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commutes.

Roof Avalanche Watch: This is not an official alert from the NWS, but watch out for roof avalanches as all of the snow we have had, settles and potentially slides off our roofs…especially for those of you who have metal roofs. Not only can sliding snow do a lot of damage, it can actually kill you!

Travel Disclaimer: While we would love to help you make decisions on whether to drive over the pass, plan your trip or predict if planes will be able to take off in Durango on a particular date, we don’t have the resources to do so…plus it puts us in potential legal liability if you go flying off Wolf Creek Pass when we suggested it would be a good day to travel! Please use these two links: New Mexico Road Conditions and Colorado Road Conditions. And this one for Durango Airport flight information.

Forecast discussion…

Low clouds formed once again overnight due to an inversion as cold air settled in our valleys. While I was working on this post, it was sunny and 18 degrees at Wolf Creek and 11 degrees, with clouds and flurries at our place about a mile north of Hatcher Lake. The clouds should break by mid-day, then thicken up again as a low pressure to our west, starts impacting our weather. Our next low is located over northern Nevada this morning, moving south. Over the next couple of days, it will move SSE into southern AZ, then eastward into Mexico and Texas. We will be on the outer fringes of the moisture. Despite some sunshine starting on Tuesday, look for our temperatures to continue below normal this upcoming week, with lows in the 0’s to single digits and highs only in the upper 20’s and low 30’s.

The rest of today: Cloudy this morning, partly cloudy midday, then becoming mostly cloudy this afternoon. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to low 30’s. Lows tonight will be in the teens.

Tonight-Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance for snow showers, winding up by the afternoon. Highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s. Lows in the single digits to low teens.

Tuesday and Wednesday: Partly cloudy with a slight chance for light snow showers. Lows in the single digits and highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s

Thursday-Friday: Mostly sunny with lows in the single digits and highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s.

Snowfall forecast for tonight through Monday afternoon:

Valley: 1-3”

Mountains: 4-9”

Screenshot 2023 01 22 085556
Our next low is located over northern Nevada this morning, moving south. Over the next couple of days, it will move SSE into southern AZ, then eastward into Mexico and Texas. We will be on the outer fringes of the moisture as it rotates around us.
StormTotalSnow 1
The NWS in Grand Junction is predicting 1-2 inches of snow for us from our next storm tonight through Monday afternoon.
Screenshot 2023 01 22 080311
The latest NWS snowfall model is predicting 2 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs and 6 inches for Wolf Creek Pass from our next storm.

Our 5-Day Forecast…

Pagosa 5 day 1 22 23 1
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Mark Langford

Mark Langford

I consider myself a "weather journalist" who has been studying and following meteorology since taking an earth science class in eighth grade. Later, when I became a professional commercial photographer, I learned that my continued studies in meteorology helped me plan outdoor photo assignments. I'm now a semi-retired photographer who teaches photo workshops, goes storm chasing and of course enjoys photographing great landscapes and clouds in our area. My fine art photography can be seen here: https://fineartamerica.com/profiles/1-mark-langford
Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

 

© 2023 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon