Two small storms, with a break for Winterfest on Saturday.

Coyote loop

With 40 inches of snow since January 1st, Coyote Loop Trail has been transformed into Coyote Loop Cross Country Trail. Drone photo by Mark Langford

Friday – 20 Jan. 2023 – 9am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 28 and the low this morning was 8 degrees. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 52%. Winds at the airfield hit 4 mph yesterday.

Precipitation summary…there was no precipitation recorded in our area yesterday.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
3856/ 19863-29/ 1984

Roof Avalanche Watch: OK, this is not an official alert from the NWS, but watch out for roof avalanches over the next few days as all of the snow we have had, settles and potentially slides off our roofs…especially for those of you who have metal roofs. Not only can sliding snow do a lot of damage, it can actually kill you!

Travel Disclaimer: While we would love to help you make decisions on whether to drive over the pass, plan your trip or predict if planes will be able to take off in Durango on a particular date, we don’t have the resources to do so…plus it puts us in potential legal liability if you go flying off Wolf Creek Pass when we suggested it would be a good day to travel! Please use these two links: New Mexico Road Conditions and Colorado Road Conditions. And this one for Durango Airport flight information.

Forecast discussion…

A low pressure is currently trekking through northern AZ, heading eastbound this morning. As it moves into the Four Corners region, look for snow showers to begin later this morning as we briefly tap into a SW flow. This is a fast mover, so the main snow event will primarily be from around noon through 5pm today. There will be some light snow lingering into the evening as wrap-around moisture from the low moves in from the east, then northeast as the low passes to our east.

A similar system moves through on Sunday night and Monday morning, giving us another round of light snow. As of this post, this system appears to be even drier than today’s storm.

The rest of today: Cloudy this morning with a chance for snow showers, mainly between noon and 5pm. Highs will be in the upper 20’s to low 30’s. Lows tonight will drop into the low single digits to upper single digits.

Saturday: Partly Cloudy with lows in the single digits to teens and highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s.

Click here for a detailed forecast for Winterfest.

Sunday: Partly Cloudy in the morning, turning mostly cloudy in the afternoon with a chance for snow showers in the evening. Lows in the single digits to teens and highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s

Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance for snow showers in the morning. Lows in the single digits to teens and highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s

Tuesday and Wednesday: Partly cloudy with lows -0’s to single digits and highs in the upper 20’s to low 30’s

Snowfall forecast for today:

Valley: 2-4”

Mountains: 4-8”

Snowfall forecast for Sunday night through Monday:

Valley: 1-2”

Mountains: 2-4”

Screenshot 2023 01 20 075949
A low pressure is now moving eastward through northern AZ as of this morning. This will be a relatively fast-moving system, mainly impacting us from noon-5pm.
StormTotalSnow GJT
The NWS in Grand Junction is predicting 2-4 inches of snow for us from today’s storm.
Screenshot 2023 01 20 075651
The latest NWS snowfall model is predicting 4 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs, 4 inches for Chama, NM and 8 inches for Wolf Creek Pass from today through Monday morning. This includes a small portion of what snow may fall on Sunday night and early Monday.

Our 5-Day Forecast…

Pagosa 5 day 1 20 23
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am.

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

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Mark Langford

Mark Langford

I consider myself a "weather journalist" who has been studying and following meteorology since taking an earth science class in eighth grade. Later, when I became a professional commercial photographer, I learned that my continued studies in meteorology helped me plan outdoor photo assignments. I'm now a semi-retired photographer who teaches photo workshops, goes storm chasing and of course enjoys photographing great landscapes and clouds in our area. My fine art photography can be seen here: https://fineartamerica.com/profiles/1-mark-langford
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