Another disappointing valley storm…

Pagosa Peak

Clouds broke long enough this morning to allow me to photograph a snowy Pagosa Peak. © 2022-Mark Langford

Thursday – 8 Dec. 2022 – 9:30am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 42 and the low this morning was 19 degrees. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 68%. Winds at the airfield hit 27mph yesterday.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4256/ 19818-19 / 1909
310448169 464334978857509 8427265086087382920 n
Thanks to The Springs Resort for sponsoring this storm.

Precipitation summary…Over the past 24hrs we saw a mix of snow, graupel and light rain, but totals were once again light. Below are 24-hour snow totals. Wolf Creek Ski area reported 6 inches of snow over the past 24 hours and a storm total of 17 inches.

Snow 24 hrs
24-hour snow totals as of 8am ranged from 0.5 to 2.5 inches. COCORAHS multi-day snowfall totals were not functioning this morning but basically our storm total ranged from 1-4 inches.
Storm Precip
Liquid storm totals ranged from 0.34 to 0.84 inches.

Forecast discussion…

The trough moved through our area during the night, giving us one last burst of snow before clearing us out. Because temperatures were in the high 30’s to low 40’s and snow levels remained above 7500 feet before the trough moved through, we did not get as much snow as originally forecast. On a positive note, Wolf Creek ended up with a storm total of 17 inches and our liquid totals for the valley were mostly around a half an inch. Colder air has moved into our area, and we will see highs struggling to hit the mid to upper 30’s today and tomorrow.

After a break on Friday and Saturday, another system will arrive Sunday…this one has the potential to be even stronger. Based on the fact that snow levels will remain below 7000 feet, this one could give us at least 3-6 inches in the valley and another 15-20 inches for the mountains. I’ll have my official snow forecast when I do my next post on Saturday.

The rest of today…Partly cloudy and cold with highs only reaching the mid to upper 30’s and lows dropping into the single digits and low teens. There could be few flurries during the day thanks to some wrap-around moisture from the low to our north.

Friday-Sunday: Partly cloudy with a slow warmup into the 40’s by Sunday before the next system moves through.

Sunday night-Tuesday: A great chance for snow on Sunday night through Monday night, winding down by Tuesday morning.

GFS 4
The latest GFS model is predicting 6.5 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs and 6.7 inches for Chama from Sunday night through Tuesday of next week.
NBM 4
The latest NBM model is predicting 5.4 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs and 6.9 inches for Chama, NM. from Sunday night through Tuesday of next week.

My forecast…

Pagosa 5 day forecast 12 8

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

-Mark Langford

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