Conditions were pretty good up at Wolf Creek yesterday! – pic taken 11/5/2022
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Sunday – 6 Nov 2022 – 5:45pm
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 36 and the high this afternoon was 48. The low this morning was 22 but the cold spots dipped into the mid-teens. Winds at the airfield hit 5mph both yesterday and today.
Precip summary… There has been no precipitation.
Forecast discussion…
This evening through Wednesday morning… We are between a flat ridge to our northeast and the next low pressure system to our northwest. We’ll see patches of high clouds and winds increasing as upper level flow picks up.
There is nothing on radar in our region.
Wednesday afternoon through Thursday around noon… The next system will move through. Spotty showers will start over the mountains late Wednesday afternoon and then increase by late evening. The best chance for precip is late Wednesday evening to sunrise on Thursday. Then spotty showers will linger until noon Thursday, especially over the mountains.
The snow level will start around 8,500ft Wednesday afternoon and then drop through the evening.
** Winds will be gusty Wednesday afternoon to early Thursday morning. Windy spots in the valley will hit 35mph and winds in the mountains will peak in the 60-70mph range. **
** Expect brief periods of snow, poor visibility, gusty winds, and bad roads, especially in the mountains, late Wednesday evening to early Thursday morning. **
My snow forecast…
Valley below 8,500ft: 1-3”
Above 8,500ft: 3-6”
My forecast…
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. *
We catch the tail end of the front as it moves through early Thursday morning.
Pagosa Springs historical data
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 54 | 70 / 1950 | 19 | 4 / 1943 |
My next post will be on Tuesday.
– Shawn
