Evening storms lead to incredible Pagosa Country sunsets! – Pic taken 8/6/2022
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Sunday – 7 Aug 2022 – 9:20am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 81. The low this morning was 55. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 29%. Winds at the airfield hit 25mph yesterday.
Precip summary… Friday was a dud, but most of us got a few raindrops yesterday.


Forecast discussion…
The upper level high continues to wobble around the Four Corners area. The high is currently to our south. The monsoon plume is narrowing, but it will be over us today and tomorrow.
Today and tomorrow, Cape, a measure instability, is well past the threshold for us to get showers and thunderstorms. Precipitable water, the amount of water potentially available for precip, peaks a tad over an inch so there is plenty of moisture to work with.
Today storms will be slow moving and capable of dropping a bunch of rain in a short period over small areas. Tomorrow’s storms will be moving a little faster from the north-northeast towards the south-southwest.
Over the next few days, the high is expected to move north. By the middle of the week, northeast flow around the high will weaken the monsoon moisture plume and push it to our west resulting in fewer showers and thunderstorms.
Monsoon storms are hit and miss and can produce quick bursts of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lighting.

At 8:30am there was nothing significant on radar in our region.
My forecast…

* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * With showers and thunderstorms expect brief periods of heavy rain, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning.


This is all convective/showery precip that will be hit and miss and fall mostly in the afternoons and evenings. Precip amounts with summer showers and thunderstorms vary considerably.
Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
82 | 94 / 1981 | 45 | 32 / 1911 |
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
My next forecast post will be tomorrow morning.
– Shawn