Red Flag Warnings through at least Saturday…

Red Flag

Friday – 27 May 2022 – 9:30am

…RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 207, 290, 291, 292, 295, AND 490… …RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 207, 290, 291, 292, 295, AND 490… *

WINDS…Southwest 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY…7 to 12 percent. * IMPACTS…Conditions will become favorable for easy ignition and rapid spread of fires due to low relative humidity and strong gusty winds. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly. A combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior.

Plumtaw Fire update…

Incident Type: Wildfire
Percent Contained: 77%
Size: 735 acres
More Fire Information: Via Inciweb
Last Updated: 14 Hours Ago

Perins Peak Fire (Durango)

Incident Type: Wildfire
Percent Contained: 36%
Size: 102 acres
More Fire Information: Via Inciweb
Last Updated: 14 Hours Ago

Climate Info…The high at Stevens Field yesterday afternoon was 79 and the low this morning was 39. Humidity yesterday afternoon bottomed out at 10% and winds peaked at 24mph at 4:55pm. There was no precipitation recorded in our area yesterday.

Forecast discussion…

*** Archuleta County and the San Juan National Forest have implemented a STAGE 1 FIRE RESTRICTIONS. ***

Wind and dangerous fire conditions will be ramping up over the holiday weekend as the ridge of high pressure moves to our east and a trough and associated cold front move into the NW over the next 48 hours. As the trough deepens, our surface winds will increase out of the SW with wind gusts now forecast to reach or exceed 40mph from Saturday through Tuesday. Look for highs today to potentially hit 80 degrees with lows in the 30’s and 40’s. Saturday will pretty much a repeat with temperatures, but with more wind. Cooler air and a tiny chance for some afternoon thunderstorms arrives on Sunday and Memorial Day with a cold front passage, but the relentless winds will continue. By Wednesday, the high-pressure ridge will return, and we should see winds easing to 15-25mph once again. The latest long-range models are not looking very promising for a beneficial rain event anytime soon.

Shawn takes over on Sunday…We hope to see you guys this afternoon at our “meet and greet” booth at the Ski & Bow Rack today from noon to 4pm.  Come say hi!

Screenshot 2022 05 27 074732
Winds will gust to over 30mph today, around 40mph on Saturday, and over 40mph on Sunday and Monday.
Screenshot 2022 05 27 085858
Although there is a tiny chance for some afternoon storms on Sunday and Monday, the odds for any measurable precipitation are very low.
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Arleen discussing her thoughts on the upcoming monsoon season last night at our weather meeting at Ruby M. Sisson Memorial Library. We were thrilled to see so many of you at the meeting and we will be adding more links to our page thanks to your suggestions.

My forecast…

Pagosa 5 day forecast 5 27 22 1
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. *

Pagosa Springs historical data for 5-27.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
7287 / 19513316/ 1911

Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

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Mark Langford

Mark Langford

I consider myself a "weather journalist" who has been studying and following meteorology since taking an earth science class in eighth grade. Later, when I became a professional commercial photographer, I learned that my continued studies in meteorology helped me plan outdoor photo assignments. I'm now a semi-retired photographer who teaches photo workshops, goes storm chasing and of course enjoys photographing great landscapes and clouds in our area. My fine art photography can be seen here: https://fineartamerica.com/profiles/1-mark-langford
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This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

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