Marianne captured these amazing iridescent clouds yesterday morning over V Rock and the South San Juans… Pic taken 5/7/2022
Sunday – 8 May 2022 – 9:00am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high temp yesterday afternoon was 75 – congratulations Frank Snyder for winning the 75 degrees contest! He won a $25 gift certificate for some of the best burgers in Pagosa at THE SAGE. The low this morning was 41. The lowest relative humidity yesterday afternoon was 13%. The peak wind at the airfield on Friday was 28mph and on Saturday it was 37mph.
Precip summary… None in the last 24 hours.
Forecast discussion…
An upper level low pressure system will slowly move down the California coast while a pesky ridge hangs tight over the southern Plains and Mississippi Valley. The moisture and precip will miss the southwest US but we’re stuck in the middle where winds will continue cranking.
The trough will finally move through on Thursday and bring us a few more clouds and cooler temps.
Unfortunately I don’t see any significant pattern change for at least the next 10 days. Precip looks minimal to non-existent, winds will be breezy most afternoons, and humidity will stay low.
*** The Grand Junction NWS has issued a Red Flag Warning for critical fire conditions valid today from 11am to 10pm and again tomorrow from 11am to 10pm. ***


My forecast…


Observations… 1. It’s quite obvious where the storm track is – to our north. 2. The NBM, a blend of various models, expects the least precip. 3. All three models expect no precip in the valley. 4. Both the Euro and GFS expect up to 0.10” of precip in our mountains. 5. Unfortunately I agree with the NBM for us – I don’t see any precip for us over the next 10 days.

Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
66 | 80 / 1989 | 28 | 13 / 1981 |
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
My next post will be on Tuesday unless something pops up.
– Shawn