Dry, breezy, and increasing fire danger…

Zion National Park, Utah… Pic taken 4/28/2022

Zion National Park, Utah… Pic taken 4/28/2022

Saturday – 30 Apr 2022 – 10:00am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temp yesterday afternoon was 63. The low this morning was 25. A few cold spots dipped into the low to mid-teens this morning. The peak wind at the airfield in the last 24 hours was 37mph.

Precip summary… None in the last 24 hours.

Forecast discussion…

The next system will move through northern Colorado Sunday night.  A spotty shower or two is possible in the mountains, but it will mostly be another wind maker for us.

Another system will move through the region on Wednesday.  The track of the system is still in doubt.  One model tracks it over our heads while another tracks it over Wyoming – that’s a big disparity with a variance of outcomes.  Wash those cars and do those rain dances to coax it our way! Otherwise, gusty afternoon winds and humidity in the teens will lead to increasing fire danger.

30 Apr 2022 am satellite
Satellite this morning: It’s mostly clear over the Four Corners region. The ridge will move over our heads this afternoon and then southwest flow will start increasing behind it.  The trough will stay to our north and just be another wind producer for us.
Satellite last night at 6:31pm of the smoke: The Arizona fires didn’t put out much smoke yesterday, but the New Mexico fires did.  Flow is northwest to southeast which pushed the plume over the TX panhandle.
Satellite last night at 6:31pm of the smoke: The Arizona fires didn’t put out much smoke yesterday, but the New Mexico fires did.  Flow is northwest to southeast which pushed the plume over the TX panhandle.

My forecast…

* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. *
* The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. *
This is forecast precip through Wednesday at midnight for the three primary forecast models that I look at every day: NBM top center, Euro bottom left, and GFS bottom right. Most obvious is that the 2 systems during this period will miss us to the north. The NBM and GFS expect a little precip in our mountains but none in the valley. The Euro is a little more optimistic. Hey northeast Colorado, share some of that rain with us!
This is forecast precip through Wednesday at midnight for the three primary forecast models that I look at every day: NBM top center, Euro bottom left, and GFS bottom right.

Most obvious is that the 2 systems during this period will miss us to the north. The NBM and GFS expect a little precip in our mountains but none in the valley. The Euro is a little more optimistic.

Hey northeast Colorado, share some of that rain with us!

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6281 / 19812613 / 1909

Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.

Mark will take over tomorrow.

– Shawn

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Shawn Pro

Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

 

© 2024 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon