Scattered showers tonight and tomorrow – strong winds on Tuesday…

A spot of sun on the mountains this morning… Pic taken 4/3/2022

Sunday – 3 Apr 2022 – 3:40pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temp yesterday afternoon was 61. The low this morning was 34. The peak wind at the airfield in the last 24 hours was 25mph.

Precip summary… A few showers have moved over the mountains, but I haven’t seen anything in the valley.

Forecast discussion…

Skies will stay mostly cloudy today ahead of another weak system. Spotty showers and an isolated thunderstorm will continue over the mountains this afternoon and become more widespread after midnight. Occasional showers and a thunderstorm or two are possible until Monday afternoon when the trough moves through.

On Tuesday a strong jet stream out of the northwest will result in partly cloudy skies and gusty winds. The rest of the week will be mostly sunny, and winds will gradually decrease as ridging takes over.

Satellite this afternoon: The weak trough is over NV southern CA and moving east. There isn’t much moisture – that’s mostly mid and upper level clouds. — *Satellite this afternoon: The weak trough is over NV and southern CA and moving east. There isn’t much moisture – that’s mostly mid and upper level clouds.*

*Radar this afternoon: Shower activity in CO is mostly east of the Divide. That stuff over southwest UT is either light precip or virga that’s not hitting the ground.*

My forecast…

Rest of today & tomorrow – Spotty showers and an isolated thunderstorm or two will continue over the mountains this afternoon and become more widespread after midnight. The best chance for precip is midnight tonight to noon tomorrow. Showers and an isolated thunderstorm are possible over the mountains until sunset tomorrow. The snow level will start around 10,000ft and drop to 8,000ft by sunrise tomorrow. Tuesday – It will be windy, especially in the mountains. See the forecast wind chart below. * LE = liquid equivalent. * * The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. * — Rest of today & tomorrow – Spotty showers and an isolated thunderstorm or two will continue over the mountains this afternoon and become more widespread after midnight. The best chance for precip is midnight tonight to noon tomorrow. Showers and an isolated thunderstorm are possible over the mountains until sunset tomorrow. The snow level will start around 10,000ft and drop to 8,000ft by sunrise tomorrow.

***Tuesday – It will be windy, especially in the mountains. See the forecast wind chart below.***

*** LE = liquid equivalent. * * The forecast periods are from 8am to 8am. ***

*NBM liquid equivalent through Monday at 6pm shows 0.15” in Pagosa and up to 0.50” in our mountains. Most of this precip falls between midnight tonight and noon tomorrow.*

*NWS snowfall through Monday at 6pm shows a dusting in the higher parts of the valley and 3-6” in our mountains. This will be mostly a rain event for the valley.*

*NBM wind gusts on Tuesday at 3pm shows 34mph for Pagosa, 38mph for Chama, and 40mph for Durango. Our ridge lines are in the 45-55mph range.*

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average High	Record High / Year	Average Low	Record Low / Year
55	70 / 1959	21	3 / 1975

Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.

Arleen will do an update tomorrow.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!

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