A little snow Wednesday night & Thursday…

Fly-fishing the San Juan River – a great way to spend this lovely day!  Pic taken 3/14/2022

Fly-fishing the San Juan River – a great way to spend this lovely day!  Pic taken 3/14/2022

Monday – 14 Mar 2022 – 8:20pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temp this afternoon was 48. The low this morning was 22.  I saw a few spots in the mid-50s this afternoon. The peak wind at the airfield this afternoon was 9mph.

Precip summary… A few snowflakes fell in the mountains.

Forecast discussion…

Tomorrow will stay nice as transient ridging moves through.

Late Wednesday afternoon to Thursday afternoon the next system will move through Colorado.  Upper level flow will be west to northwest which doesn’t favor us. Unfortunately the best moisture and storm energy will stay to our north.

Friday and Saturday clouds will try to clear and we’ll be dry as ridging builds back over the region.

Satellite this evening: Dry northwest flow gave us beautiful weather today.  The ridge axis will move overhead tomorrow, and the flow will turn more westerly and push a few mid and upper level clouds into our area.
Satellite this evening: Dry northwest flow gave us beautiful weather today.  The ridge axis will move overhead tomorrow, and the flow will turn more westerly and push a few mid and upper level clouds into our area.

My forecast…

Wednesday – Spotty showers will start late afternoon with rain up to 8,000ft.
Wednesday after midnight – The snow level will drop to 6,500ft.
Thursday – Scattered snowshowers are possible all day but temps will be above freezing, so snow will have trouble sticking
Wednesday – Spotty showers will start late afternoon with rain up to 8,000ft.
Wednesday after midnight – The snow level will drop to 6,500ft.
Thursday – Scattered snowshowers are possible all day but temps will be above freezing, so snow will have trouble sticking
NWS snowfall to 6am on Friday shows Pagosa getting less than an inch of snow and our mountains getting up to 6”.
NWS snowfall to 6am on Friday shows Pagosa getting less than an inch of snow and our mountains getting up to 6”.
NBM snowfall to Thursday at midnight shows 0.4”in Pagosa and 3-6” in our mountains.  The Front Range mountains are in the 8-10” range.
NBM snowfall to Thursday at midnight shows 0.4” in Pagosa and 3-6” in our mountains.  The Front Range mountains are in the 8-10” range.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4862 / 199514-21 / 1913

Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.

I hope to do another post tomorrow evening, but it might be Wednesday morning.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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