A snowflake or two tonight and then a few more Wednesday night & Thursday…

Meet George!  He’s a hound pup mix, around 11 months old.  He’s affectionate and playful and will complete someone’s family!  Call the Humane Society at 970-731-4711 for more info.

Meet George!  He’s a hound pup mix, around 11 months old.  He’s affectionate and playful and will complete someone’s family!  Call the Humane Society at 970-731-4711 for more info.

Sunday – 13 Mar 2022 – 4:00pm

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temp yesterday afternoon was 44. The low this morning was 15.  Most of us had lows in the 5-15 degree range though a few cold spots dropped below zero.  The peak wind at the airfield yesterday afternoon was 7mph.

Precip summary… None in the last 24 hours.

Forecast discussion…

Tonight a few more clouds and a mountain snowshower or two is possible as a trough moves through northern Colorado. It will hardly impact us.

Tuesday will be nice as transient ridging moves through.

Wednesday afternoon to Thursday afternoon the next system will move through Colorado.  Upper level flow will be west to northwest which doesn’t favor us. Unfortunately the best moisture and storm energy will stay to our north.

Satellite this afternoon: Mid and upper level clouds will increase this evening ahead of the trough.  There isn’t much moisture and most of it will stay to our north.
Satellite this afternoon: Mid and upper level clouds will increase this evening ahead of the trough.  There isn’t much moisture and most of it will stay to our north.
Radar this afternoon: Light scattered showers are moving east.  They will stay mostly to our north.
Radar this afternoon: Light scattered showers are moving east.  They will stay mostly to our north.

My forecast…

Tonight – Up to an inch of snow could fall in a few lucky spots in our mountains.
Wednesday – Scattered showers will start in the afternoon with rain up to 8,000ft.
Wednesday night – The snow level will drop to 6,500ft.
Thursday – Scattered snowshowers are possible all day but temps will be above freezing, so snow will have trouble sticking
Tonight – Up to an inch of snow could fall in a few lucky spots in our mountains.
Wednesday – Scattered showers will start in the afternoon with rain up to 8,000ft.
Wednesday night – The snow level will drop to 6,500ft.
Thursday – Scattered snowshowers are possible all day but temps will be above freezing, so snow will have trouble sticking

.

NWS snowfall valid 6am this morning to 6pm tomorrow evening shows our mountains getting less than an inch and the northern mountains in the 4-6” range
NWS snowfall valid 6am this morning to 6pm tomorrow evening shows our mountains getting less than an inch and the northern mountains in the 4-6” range
NBM snowfall to Thursday at midnight shows 0.5”in Pagosa and 3-6” in our mountains.  The yellow arrows indicate the storm track and flow. Nearly all the mountains to our north are in the 10-16” range.
NBM snowfall to Thursday at midnight shows 0.5”in Pagosa and 3-6” in our mountains.  The yellow arrows indicate the storm track and flow. Nearly all the mountains to our north are in the 10-16” range.
NBM snowfall to 22 Mar at midnight shows 1.7” in Pagosa and our mountains are in the 8-12” range.  The mountains to our north are in the 12-24” range.  Note: This depicts all snow to this point.  The yellow arrows indicate the storm track and flow. We need the storm track to dip farther south to get more precip.
NBM snowfall to 22 Mar at midnight shows 1.7” in Pagosa and our mountains are in the 8-12” range.  The mountains to our north are in the 12-24” range.  Note: This depicts all snow to this point.  The yellow arrows indicate the storm track and flow. We need the storm track to dip farther south to get more precip.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4766 / 194314-10 / 1909

Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.

Unless there’s a big change or something pops up, my next post will be on Tuesday.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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