Snow today and then dry for a while…

Snow today and then dry for a while…

Downtown Pagosa Springs this morning… Jim Smith Realty cam 3/10/2022 at 6:30am

Thursday – 10 Mar 2022 – 10:00am

The past…

At Stevens Field the high temp yesterday afternoon was 35. The low this morning was 22.  The peak wind at the airfield in the last 24 hours was 27mph.

Precip summary… Spotty snowshowers yesterday didn’t amount to anything in the valley.  Heavier snow started across much of the county this morning between 4 and 5am.  Roads across the region are slick.  Of course, it was a different story up at Wolf Creek where steady snow fell much of the last 24 hours resulting in 9”.

CoCoRaHS 24-hour snowfall reports range from 1.2” to 2.9”.  So far the heaviest snow has fallen along highway 160.
CoCoRaHS 24-hour snowfall reports range from 1.2” to 2.9”.  So far the heaviest snow has fallen along highway 160.

Forecast discussion…

The upper level trough will move through shortly after midnight. As the trough sinks southeast towards AZ, the best energy and moisture will slip to our south this evening. I expect Chromo and Chama to get a little more snow than Pagosa.

Friday through at least Tuesday, a ridge will build back over the region and keep us dry.

Water vapor satellite: The trough is moving southeast towards AZ but a nice band of clouds and snow is draped across the region.
Water vapor satellite: The trough is moving southeast towards AZ but a nice band of clouds and snow is draped across the region.
Radar: Mostly light snow is falling.  Upstream precip in AZ and UT has two movements – individual bands are moving northeast while the entire pattern is moving southeast ahead of the trough. As usual, the Four Corners radar donut hole prevents us from seeing snow in our area.
Radar: Mostly light snow is falling.  Upstream precip in AZ and UT has two movements – individual bands are moving northeast while the entire pattern is moving southeast ahead of the trough. As usual, the Four Corners radar donut hole prevents us from seeing snow in our area.

My forecast…

Today – Accumulating snow is mostly likely to fall between now and sunset. Then spotty snowshowers will linger into early Friday morning, especially over the mountains.  Patchy morning fog is possible in low-lying areas tomorrow morning.
Today – Accumulating snow is mostly likely to fall between now and sunset. Then spotty snowshowers will linger into early Friday morning, especially over the mountains.  Patchy morning fog is possible in low-lying areas tomorrow morning.

***  The Grand Junction NWS has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the southwest San Juan Mountains valid until 11pm tonight for an additional 3-7” of snow with higher amounts possible around Wolf Creek Pass.  ***

NWS snowfall for CO valid from 6am this morning to 6 am Friday shows 3-4” for Pagosa.
NWS snowfall for CO valid from 6am this morning to 6 am Friday shows 3-4” for Pagosa.
NWS snowfall for NM valid from 5am this morning to 11 am Friday shows snow over the entire north half of the state with the northern mountains favored.
NWS snowfall for NM valid from 5am this morning to 11 am Friday shows snow over the entire north half of the state with the northern mountains favored.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4769 / 198914-2 / 1958

Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.

My next post will be tomorrow morning.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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