Low pressure #1 let us down…let’s hope Low #2 does a better job!

No Peak

Light snow and low clouds are obscuring my view of Pagosa Peak this morning!

3-5-22. 10am update…

The low this morning at Stevens Field was 29 degrees and the high yesterday was 49. As of this post time, most of our area received around a 1/2 inch of snow or less overnight. Wolf Creek Ski area recorded 2 inches.

Current Winter Storm Warning and Advisory Update:

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Current advisory and warnings. Pagosa Springs is not included as of this post.

For Wolf Creek Pass:

…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM FRIDAY TO 5 PM MST SUNDAY… * WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 19 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE…Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet. * WHEN…From 8 AM Friday to 5 PM MST Sunday. * IMPACTS…Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS…A temporary lull in snowfall intensity is expected Saturday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

For elevations above 9000 feet

Winter Weather Advisory issued March 5 at 3:40AM MST until March 6 at 5:00PM MST by NWS Grand Junction CO * WHAT…Snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow accumulations of 8 to 16 inches with locally higher amounts. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE…Southwest San Juan Mountains. * WHEN…Until 5 PM MST Sunday.

Low pressure #1 was almost a bust…not only did we not see any thunderstorms yesterday afternoon in our area (they stayed to our north and west), but our snow didn’t arrive until the wee hours of the morning and most of us only recorded around a half inch. Fortunately, as I type this post, light snow continues and should be around most of the day. As we move into the afternoon, low pressure #2 should start impacting our area with a ramping up of snow showers. This should continue through most of Sunday and I’m still hoping to see some decent snow totals by Monday morning for us and the mountains. The good news is that with a lack of high pressure above us, we will continue to be in a stormy pattern through all of next week with our next snow maker arriving Wednesday afternoon.

Screenshot 2022 03 05 092845
Low pressure #2 is currently in central Nevada and will be tracking our direction over the next 24 hours.
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Our second low can be seen on mid-level water vapor imagery this morning. This one will hopefully deliver more snow than the one that came through last night.
StormTotalSnowWeb1 CO
Here is the latest Grand Junction NWS snowfall forecast from today through Tuesday morning.
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The latest NWS 3 day forecast model run is predicting 5 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs, 9 inches for Chama and 16 inches for our mountains from today-Tuesday.
NBM 1
The latest NBM model is forecasting 5 inches for Pagosa Springs and 7.3 inches for Chama through Tuesday.

My forecast…

For those of you who like to “hear” our forecast, call 877-841-0247.

Pagosa 5day 3 5

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for March 5th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4462/ 197213-21/ 1966

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