Here we go…

Showtime

3-3-22. 2:15pm update…

The low this morning at Stevens Field was 22 degrees and the high so far today has been 58. There was no precipitation recorded in our area.

3pm Winter Storm Warning and Advisory Update:

Screenshot 2022 03 03 151007
Current advisory and warnings. Pagosa Springs is not included as of this post.

For Wolf Creek Pass:

…WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM FRIDAY TO 5 PM MST SUNDAY… * WHAT…Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 19 inches. Winds gusting as high as 45 mph. * WHERE…Eastern San Juan Mountains Above 10000 Feet. * WHEN…From 8 AM Friday to 5 PM MST Sunday. * IMPACTS…Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS…A temporary lull in snowfall intensity is expected Saturday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS… If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.

For elevations above 9000 feet…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM FRIDAY TO 5 PM MST SUNDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET… * WHAT…Snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches. Expect locally higher amounts. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE…Southwest San Juan Mountains. * WHEN…From 8 AM Friday to 5 PM MST Sunday. Expect lulls in snowfall, especially during the day Saturday. * IMPACTS…Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility.

High clouds are already starting to stream in from the SW…an indication that our mid-level winds are bringing in more moisture as high pressure is moving to our east. A trough is digging into the west coast along with two lows that will be giving us a good chance for rain, snow and even a thunderstorm from Friday through at least Tuesday of next week. We should start seeing a rain/snow mix as early as Friday morning, but with high temps hitting the mid 40’s there will not be any road accumulation during the day. Such will not be the case at Wolf Creek Pass, with temps below freezing, snow will start accumulating by noon. (3pm update) A Winter Storm Warning has now been issued for Wolf Creek Pass. Snow levels will rise to above 8000 feet during the day giving us a chance for snow, rain and a possible thunderstorm in the afternoon…a lot will depend on your elevation. If you live closer to downtown, you will most likely only see rain on Friday. By Friday night colder air will arrive and the snow levels should drop back to below 7000 feet through most of next week. Saturday and Sunday will be our best chances for seeing snow, but snow odds will continue through at least Tuesday even with skies becoming partly cloudy. Temps will go from above normal to below normal starting on Saturday.

Screenshot 2022 03 03 125619
A trough is digging into the west coast along with two lows that will be giving us a good chance for rain, snow and even a thunderstorm from Friday through at least Tuesday of next week.
StormTotalSnow GJT
Here is the latest NWS snowfall forecast from today through Sunday morning.
Screenshot 2022 03 03 132400
The latest NBM model run is forecasting 8.6 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs from Friday-Tuesday.
Screenshot 2022 03 03 132441
The latest Euro model is now forecasting 7.6 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs through Tuesday.

My forecast…

For those of you who like to “hear” our forecast, call 877-841-0247.

Pagosa 5day 3 3

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for March 3rd.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4560/ 198613-15/ 1913

Pagosa Weather Blizzard Level Sponsor

Pagosa Weather Storm Sponsor

Mark Langford

Mark Langford

I consider myself a "weather journalist" who has been studying and following meteorology since taking an earth science class in eighth grade. Later, when I became a professional commercial photographer, I learned that my continued studies in meteorology helped me plan outdoor photo assignments. I'm now a semi-retired photographer who teaches photo workshops, goes storm chasing and of course enjoys photographing great landscapes and clouds in our area. My fine art photography can be seen here: https://fineartamerica.com/profiles/1-mark-langford
Get Pagosa Weather Updates

Enter your email address to receive notifications of new posts by email.

One Response

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Pagosa Weather Disclaimer and Release of Liability

This website makes no guarantees about nor bears any responsibility or liability concerning the accuracy or timeliness of the weather information published on this website. All weather information published on this website is for educational and weather enthusiast purposes only. We do not issue Storm Watches, Warnings or Advisories as that ability falls with the National Weather Service, who is the only institution allowed to issue such warnings by law. We are not in any way linked nor affiliated with the National Weather Service, although we do share information and relay weather watches/ warnings, etc. Use of the information on page is at your own risk/discretion, and we are not responsible for any personal/property damages, injury or death associated with weather forecasts, reports or other information as well as communication exchanged in private messages and/or person.

Terms of Use                  Privacy Policy

 

© 2023 Pagosa Weathe

Website Design by : Brandon