Spring through Thursday then back to winter…

Having fun with some weather graphics!

2-27-22. 2:45pm update…

The low this morning at Stevens Field was 4 degrees and the high so far today has been 41. There was no precipitation recorded in our area.

Meteorological spring begins on Tuesday and based on our upcoming temperatures, the weather gods have gotten the memo…at least for a few days. High pressure will rule our weather through Thursday, with daytime highs surpassing 50 degrees by Tuesday. By Friday, a large trough will dig into the Pacific NW and set up several days of potential rain and snow for our area as a series of waves move east. At this time, the models are still trying to sort this out, but I’m feeling confident that another round of moisture will arrive from Friday-next week. We could see a rain snow mix on Thursday night and Friday with snow levels forecast to rise to above 8000 feet. By Friday afternoon colder air will arrive and the snow levels should drop back to below 7000 feet. The good news is that this looks like a long period of unsettled weather that could extend through next week!

Screenshot 2022 02 27 085043
The latest 6-10 day precipitation probability is leaning above normal.
Screenshot 2022 02 27 085011
The latest 6-10 day temperature probability is leaning below normal.
Screenshot 2022 02 27 134634
The latest EURO model run is forecasting 7 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs from Friday-Sunday.
Screenshot 2022 02 27 142550
The latest long-range EURO model continues snowfall through all of next week.
Screenshot 2022 02 27 134726
The latest National Blend of Models is only forecasting 3.5 inches of snow for Pagosa Springs through the weekend, but continues us in the “snow mode” through early next week.

My forecast…

For those of you who like to “hear” our forecast, call 877-841-0247.

Winter 8day template Pagosa3 1

The rest of today: Sunny with a high in the low 40’s. South winds 5-10 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy with lows ranging from the single digits to the teens.

Monday: Partly cloudy with highs in the mid 40’s.

Tuesday-Thursday: Mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 50’s and lows in the teens to 20’s.

Thursday night-Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a chance for rain/snow showers on Friday, then snow showers for Friday afternoon-Sunday. Lows in the teens-20’s and highs in 30’s.

I’ll have my forecast for snow totals on Tuesday. My next post will be on Tuesday unless something completely meteorologically random occurs.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for February 27th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4464/ 198612-9/ 1971

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