I had a great day Wolf Creek!… Pic taken 12/16/2021 – photo credit to my ski partner, Todd
Thursday – 16 Dec 2021 – 5:15pm
At Stevens Field the high temp in the last 24 hours was 33. Temp data was missing most of the night and morning, but the cold spots were in the -5 to 0 range. The peak wind at the airfield in the last 24 hours was 9mph.
Storm summary… Snowfall was difficult to measure due to strong winds. CoCoRaHS reports indicate that 3-5” fell in the valley. Wolf Creek ended up with a storm total of 14”.
Drought and snowpack update…
Through Tuesday… A trough will move through tonight and tomorrow morning. We’ll see a few more clouds and a few spotty snowshowers over the mountains. Otherwise upper level ridging will keep us dry. This period will be pretty quiet.
Starting roughly late Wednesday, 22 Dec through the rest of Christmas week, the weather pattern will get more active. The upper level ridge will flatten and sink south which will allow a more west to east progression of systems. Colorado won’t be in the bullseye, but we could see an extended period of unsettled weather.
The rest of today through Tuesday… Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy tonight and tomorrow morning with a few snowflakes possible in our mountains. Otherwise we’ll see lots of sun and patches of occasional high clouds. Highs will be in the mid-30s to low 40s and lows will be -5 to 15.
Wednesday through Christmas?… We’ll see more clouds and a chance for snow. That’s too far out to determine details like timing and snow amounts.
Forecasts beyond 6 or 7 days are not reliable. These products will bounce all over the place between now and then and can’t be trusted. Right now, all I can say is that the pattern will be more active with a chance for snow.
Pagosa Springs historical data
|Average High||Record High / Year||Average Low||Record Low / Year|
|40||60 / 1959||4||-24 / 1940|
Call 877-841-0247 for our “dial up and text” forecast.
I’m taking tomorrow off. My next post will be on Saturday.