Not one, but two storms next week!

Graupel Man

Graupel Man has a message below…

Graupel man is excited about two snowstorms coming in next week!

12-2-21: 2:30 pm update…

At Stevens Field the high so far today has been 60 degrees, not far from setting a new record for the day. We did set a record high on Tuesday with 59 degrees. The old record was 58 degrees set back in 1956. The low this morning was 27 degrees. There has been zero precipitation over the past 24 hours.

As of this post, it looks like we could see two snowstorms next week! The first one (Storm 1) appears to be very similar to our last one before Thanksgiving…fast moving and not expected to drop a lot of snow. Storm 2, which will move in later in the week (Friday-Sunday) has the potential to move more slowly and drop a decent amount of snow. Both storms will be the result of upper-level disturbances and troughs, something we have not seen much of this season so far. In addition to the storms, colder air will also be moving in, chilling us down to below normal temperatures for next week.

High pressure will continue to dominate our weather through Monday with clear skies and above normal temperatures but we will be seeing a slight lowering of our temperatures starting on Saturday.

500wh.conus
Our first upper-level low and associated trough will begin to impact our weather on Monday evening.
Screenshot 2021 12 02 141036
The latest EURO model run is forecasting 2-4 inches of snow for our area from Storm #1 from Monday afternoon through early Wednesday morning.
Screenshot 2021 12 02 141445
The latest 6-10 day forecast has our area in the “Leaning Above” odds for precipitation…something we have not seen much of so far this season!

My forecast…

For those of you who like to “hear” our forecast, we are currently experimenting with a “dial up and text” forecast. Call 877-841-0247 and give it a try! Let us know what you think…

The rest of today: Sunny with highs in the low 60’s. Winds will out of the SW 5-10 mph.

Friday-Monday: Mostly sunny with lows in the teens and 20’s and highs in upper 50’s to low 60’s cooling down to the lower 50’s from Saturday-Monday. Winds will generally be out of the SW 5-10 with a few gusts approaching 20 mph.

Monday afternoon-Wednesday of next week: Storm # 1 moves in late in the afternoon on Monday and will primarily impact our area Monday night through Tuesday night. As of this post I’m seeing 2-4 inches of snow for the valley and 5-10 inches for the mountains. Lows will drop into the teens and highs will struggle to get out of the 30’s.

My next update will be on Saturday.

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data for November 8th.

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
4563/ 190610-10/ 1913

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One Response

  1. Mark,
    I am glad to have found your site. We just purchased a house just outside of Pagosa and will be flying in on Monday. Keep up the great work!

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