Cimarrona after the storm clouds cleared – Pic taken 10/26/2021
Wednesday – 27 Oct 2021 – 8:45am
The past…
At Stevens Field the high yesterday was 50 at 7:35am just ahead of the cold front. Then the temperature dropped to 36 at 10am as the front moved through. The low this morning was 23. The peak wind in the last 24 hours was 39mph.

Precip in the last 24 hours…


Science stuff… I expected patchy fog this morning in low lying areas, instead we “frosted out”. Fog is formed by condensation – gas changing to a liquid. Frost is formed by deposition – gas changing to a solid. We cooled so rapidly last night, we skipped condensation and deposition took over to give us frost.

Forecast discussion…
Ridging will build into the area the rest of the week and give us lots of sun and seasonal temps.
The models are hinting at a more active pattern starting as early as Sunday night. Unfortunately the models are all over the place, so I don’t trust them.

My forecast…
Today through Sunday… Expect lots of sun. Temps will be the coolest today with highs in the upper 40s to mid-50s and lows tonight will be in the upper teens to upper 20s. The rest of the period highs will be in the mid-50s to mid-60s and lows will be lower 20s to mid-30s.


Pagosa Springs historical data
Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
59 | 73 / 1910 | 22 | 8 / 1913 |
*** This is the last day to make guess in our latest contest: When we will have 24” of snow on the ground?” Make a guess either on the contest web page or the original Facebook post that was sent on 20 Oct 2021. A HUGE thanks to Tall Pines Beer and Wine Garden for sponsoring the contest! ***
My next post will be on Friday. Also keep an ear out for a word from Pagosa Weather on KWUF!
– Shawn