The rain window is shutting…

Lone Hiker

A lone hiker takes advantage of cool temperatures this morning along Coyote Loop Trail

6-19-21: 820am update…A chance for more PM Poppers, then mainly dry and less hot this week.

Yesterday’s storms cooled us down in the afternoon, (it was still 89 degrees for our high at Stevens Airfield), but failed to deliver much precipitation as indicated from our COCORAHS reports this morning.

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COCORAHS rainfall reports from this morning.

The same scenario over the past few days will continue today…high pressure with moisture trapped in the lower atmosphere will give us a chance for scattered afternoon storms. On Sunday, a trough approaches from the west, switching our upper level winds into a NW flow and flushing out what little moisture we have. On a positive note, the smoke should lessen considerably and our temps should lower to just slightly above normal instead of what we have seen this week.

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One last chance for rain today, then mostly dry for the next week.
Red Flag
We are in a Red Flag Warning today.

From our NWS: Red Flag Warning issued June 19 at 2:23AM MDT until June 19 at 9:00PM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO * AFFECTED AREA…In Colorado, Fire Weather Zone 291 Northern San Juan Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 293 Gunnison Basin Forecast Area, Fire Weather Zone 294 Southwest Colorado Upper West Forecast Area and Fire Weather Zone 295 Southwest Colorado Upper East Forecast Area. * WINDS…West 5 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. * IMPACTS…Conditions will be favorable for easy ignition and rapid spread of fires due to lightning from dry thunderstorms. * THUNDERSTORMS…Widely scattered to scattered thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening with lightning and gusty outflow winds the primary concerns. * OUTFLOW WINDS…Gusty and erratic winds are possible near any showers or thunderstorms.

My forecast…

The rest of the day…Partly cloudy with wildly scattered storms building up again this afternoon. Wind gusts to around 20mph except higher in and around the storms. Highs will peak in the upper 80’s, then drop back to mid to upper 40’s overnight. I think precipitation totals through this afternoon will be 0-0.20 for our area and about double that for the mountains. Since these will be scattered storms there will be rain lottery winners and losers as usual.

For next week: Look for our highs to continue to run above average but hopefully stay in mid to upper 80’s instead of the 90’s. Lows will be mainly in the 40’s. Rain chances look slim to none.

For those of you who have enjoyed some of the images that I have posted on this site, I am now offering private photo tutoring in 3 hour sessions in Pagosa Springs, CO. I have over 30 years of professional experience and can teach you about a wide range of photo subjects; including composition, lighting, basic camera knowledge, landscapes, storms, wildlife, architecture, food and environmental portraiture. Reply on this page with your contact info if you want more information!

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© 2021-Mark Langford

Mark Langford Art (fineartamerica.com)

https://marklangfordphotography.com/

-Mark Langford

Check out my Pagosa Peak Cam (myearthcam.com) for watching hikers, bikers and of course, the weather.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
8093 / 19543722 / 1908

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