Great weather the rest of the week

Showers over Cimarrona yesterday afternoon – pic taken 5/10/2021

Showers over Cimarrona yesterday afternoon – pic taken 5/10/2021

Tuesday – 11 May 2021 – 8:45am

Overall situation…

The high temp at Stevens Field yesterday was 61 and the low this morning was 32.  Yesterday’s peak wind was 40mph.  Our peak wind was 43mph just north of Turkey Springs.  Mark had a low of 23 this morning. Just a few raindrops fell in the valley, not even enough to wet the ground for most of us.  Wolf Creek Pass got an inch or two of snow.

Upper level ridging will build into the region and keep our weather nice the rest of the week.

Wolf Creek Pass got an inch or two of snow last night
Wolf Creek Pass got an inch or two of snow last night
Water vapor shows the upper level low pressure spinning over southern Wyoming.  It will continue to move east and weaken.  Orange colors over the most of western US indicate dry air. The upper level ridge is off the West Coast and will keep us dry the rest of the week.
Water vapor shows the upper level low pressure spinning over southern Wyoming.  It will continue to move east and weaken.  Orange colors over most of the western US indicate dry air. The upper level ridge is off the West Coast and will keep us dry the rest of the week.

My forecast…

Today through Sunday… I expect lots of sun and a warming trend.  A few cumulus clouds will build over the mountains in the afternoons, but there isn’t enough instability or moisture for them to grow into showers. Today will be the coolest day with highs in the upper 50s to mid-60s and lows in the mid-20s to mid-30s. Wednesday will be 5 degrees warmer and then we’ll see highs in the 70s the rest of the week.  Afternoon winds will peak in the 25-30mph range today and then 20-25mph the rest of the week.

The NBM precip through Sunday at noon shows zero precip for Pagosa.  Nearly all of the precip on this chart will fall today.  The rest of the week should be dry for most of the state.
The NBM precip through Sunday at noon shows zero precip for Pagosa.  Nearly all of the precip on this chart will fall today.  The rest of the week should be dry for most of the state.

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6780 / 19962915 / 1931

Unless something pops up, my next update will be on Thursday.

– Shawn

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Shawn Pro

I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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