Pagosa Weather April precip & temp summary / Drought update & River Flow / May outlook…

Snowpack as of 29 April is 60% in our nearby basins. Our closest snotel sites are better with 75% and 77% of their normal snowpack.

Snowpack as of 29 April is 60% in our nearby basins.  Our closest snotel sites are a bit better with 75% and 77% of their normal snowpack.

Thursday – 29 Apr 2021 – 4:00pm

Drought, and river flow…

Colorado drought map for this week
San Juan and Piedra River flow on 29 Apr 2021
With warm temps expected the next few days, streams will be on the rise.

APRIL 2021 precip and temperature summary…

Percent of average temperature for April: The western half of Archuleta County was slightly warmer than average while the eastern half was slightly cooler than average.
Percent of average temperature for April: The western half of Archuleta County was slightly warmer than average while the eastern half was slightly cooler than average.
Percent of average precip for April: The whole county got less than half the normal precip. The southwest part of the county fared the worst.
Percent of average precip for April: The whole county got less than half the normal precip. The southwest part of the county fared the worst.
Our CoCoRaHS observers ranged from 0.34” near Village Lake to 0.83” just north of Hatcher Lake. The average April precip is 1.36”.
Our CoCoRaHS observers ranged from 0.34” near Village Lake to 0.83” just north of Hatcher Lake. The average April precip is 1.36”.

CoCoRaHS observed snowfall for April shows a couple of zeros, but I don’t think those are accurate. Each time it snowed, it melted by noon. The three locations north of town did pretty good ranging from 6.9” to 9.1”. The average snowfall for April is 5.5”.
CoCoRaHS observed snowfall for April shows a couple of zeros, but I don’t think those are accurate. Each time it snowed, it melted by noon. The three locations north of town did pretty good ranging from 6.9” to 9.1”. The average snowfall for April is 5.5”.

I’d love to include Arboles, Chromo, and Chama on these maps, but there are no CoCoRaHS observers in those areas. Please consider becoming a CoCoRaHS volunteer. Here is a link to learn all about this important program: https://www.cocorahs.org/Content.aspx?page=aboutus

May outlook…

The 8-14 day temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center indicates a chance for above average temps.
The 8-14 day temperature outlook from the Climate Prediction Center indicates a chance for above average temps.

The 8-14 day precipitation outlook from the Climate Prediction Center indicates a chance for below average precip.
The 8-14 day precipitation outlook from the Climate Prediction Center indicates a chance for below average precip.
The Euro 45 day ensemble precip for Pagosa Springs shows us in the 0.8 to 0.9” range by 1 June, which is short of the May average of 1.20”.
The Euro 45 day ensemble precip for Pagosa Springs shows us in the 0.8 to 0.9” range by 1 June, which is short of the May average of 1.20”.

My next forecast post will be Saturday morning.  Enjoy the fantastic weather!

– Shawn

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I’ve been a “weather geek” since I was young child. I joined the military out of high school and was lucky to get my dream job in weather. I have 20 years of military weather experience which includes forecasting the weather all over the world. Highlights were six years in Alaska and making life and death weather decisions during deployments. I love mountains, I love snow, and I love summertime thunderstorms. I spend a bunch of time playing outdoors and found my paradise in Pagosa Springs. I do Pagosa Weather as a community service. Hopefully you find us helpful!
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One Response

  1. new to the pagosa area and most interested (like others) in rain and drought relief. I am trying to grow grass at my new homesite.

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