Last chance for precipitation…

Now and Then

A big difference between this morning’s view of Pagosa Peak and yesterday’s view.

4-28-21: 9:30am update. Slight chance for showers and thunderstorms, then dry.

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A low pressure to our south will continue tracking east giving us a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms today. This same low will spawn severe storms later today for central Texas.

A low pressure to our south will continue tracking east giving us a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms today. Originally our odds for additional precipitation looked fairly promising, but latest model runs plus a look outside my window this morning does not give me much confidence we will see much moisture today. This same low will spawn severe storms and some heavy rain later today for central Texas just in case any of you are traveling that direction. Fortunately most of us got some precipitation yesterday. Based on the latest COCORAHS reports, Shawn and I were the precipitation lottery winners with a little over 4 inches of snow and just over 0.40 of liquid equivalent.

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Yesterday’s COCORAHS reports of liquid precipitation.

Look for a slight chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms today, then high pressure takes over, warming our temperatures into the 70’s by Friday. Lows will drop into the 20’s for the next couple of days, then 30’s from Friday through the weekend. Winds will actually behave over the next few days and stay in the 10-15mph range unless one of those very scattered showers or storm hits you this afternoon.

There are some prescribed burns scheduled for this week, so you could see some smoke in our skies. Also, if we do hit the 70’s on Friday, look for a rise in our creek and river flows. Shawn will have more info on this when he takes over tomorrow.

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Not much precipitation is forecast today…
610prcp.new
Below normal rain chances are forecast for the next 6-10 days.
610temp.new
Above normal temperatures are forecast over the next 6-10 days.

My Forecast: A slight chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms. If you get lucky you might get 0.10 of rain, but most of us will only see 0-0.05 of rain.

-Mark Langford

Pagosa Springs historical data

Average HighRecord High / YearAverage LowRecord Low / Year
6176 / 19922614 / 1991

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