A big thanks to Jonathon and the rest of the Wolf Creek crew for taking care of us! Pic taken 3/19/2021 at the base of the Treasure Lift.
Saturday – 20 Mar 2021 – 9:15am
Overall situation…
This will be our last day of ridging and dry weather for a while.
Sunday through next Saturday will be unsettled as a few systems move through the region. The first two will be disorganized, lack moisture, and their track won’t favor us. The last system is showing more promise. Wobbles in the storm track will result in more or less precip and changes to forecast timing but it’s good to see the storm track over our heads!
My forecast…
Today… Expect dry weather and patches of mid and high clouds. Highs will be in the mid-50s to around 60 and lows will be 20-25. Winds will peak this afternoon around 30mph. Winds above timberline, including the top of Wolf Creek, could hit 50mph.
Tonight through Monday at midnight… The first system will move through the region. Expect mostly cloudy skies and occasional precip. The snow level will bounce between 8,000ft during the day to 6,500ft overnight resulting in a sloppy precip mix. Temps during the day will warm into the 40s and dip into the 20s overnight.
Precip amounts:
– 0.10 to 0.25” liquid equivalent in the valley and 0-1” of snow
– 3 to 6” of snow above 9,000ft
Tuesday through Wednesday evening…The second system will move through with mostly cloudy skies and occasional showers. The snow level will continue to bounce between 8,000ft during the day to 6,500ft overnight resulting in a sloppy precip mix. Highs will be 40-45 and lows will be upper teens to mid-20s.
Precip amounts:
– 0.05 to 0.15” liquid equivalent in the valley and 0-1” of snow
– 3 to 5” of snow above 9,000ft
Thursday…We’ll see a lull with fewer clouds and just a slight chance of showers, mostly over the mountains.
Thursday night through Saturday… The last system in the series is showing the most promise. The details this far out are still questionable so Mark will tackle it in a couple of days.
Pagosa Springs historical weather data for today
| Average High | Record High / Year | Average Low | Record Low / Year |
| 51 | 68 / 1997 | 17 | -1 / 1917 |
Mark will take over tomorrow.
– Shawn
7 Responses
Our 24-hour stats just north of Turkey Springs: high temp 52, low temp 32, peak wind 35mph, 0.07” liquid, 0.1” snow
Let’s see if this works
IT WORKS!!
Dave, yes, it works! Thanks for helping us work out the kinks. – Shawn
The latest forecast models show more precip this week!
Woohoo. Waiting for the snow!
Time for snow dances!